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使用含过多零值的多层计数模型评估影响伊朗女性剖宫产选择的因素。

Assessing the Factors Affecting Cesarean Section Selection in Iranian Women Using Multilevel Count Models with Excess Zeros.

作者信息

Zandkarimi Eghbal, Moghimbeigi Abbas, Mahjub Hossein

机构信息

Departement of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.

Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Health & Research Center for Health, Safety and Environment, Alborz University of Medical Sciences, Karaj, Iran.

出版信息

Iran J Public Health. 2021 Apr;50(4):816-824. doi: 10.18502/ijph.v50i4.6008.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Iran has ranked second in the frequency of cesarean delivery (CD) and this rate in 2014 has increased by 56 percent. The CD has multiple complications for the woman and newborn, and due to the women's readmission after surgery impose additional costs to the countries. Although CD has many complications and is not recommended by obstetrician and midwives; some factors affect the choice of this method of delivery.

METHODS

We used data from the Iranian Institute for Health Sciences Research (IIHSR) in 2015. We studied the effects of factors such as socioeconomic and demographic factors and supplemental insurance status in the choice of CD. We used multilevel Zero-Inflated models for the modeling of data.

RESULTS

The employed women resident in urban areas with the high-income and age greater than 34-yr old and supplemental insurance more likely chose CD. On the other hand, women with high education level, women who use at least one media (e.g. Radio, television, etc.) and women that use contraceptive methods have chosen the less CD.

CONCLUSION

Our findings highlighted the importance of supplemental insurance and socio-economic status in choosing a CD by women. However, in some cases especially in the rich class of society, the high cost of this type of delivery does not affect the choice decrease of it, and governments should adopt rigorous policies in using this method.

摘要

背景

伊朗剖宫产率位居世界第二,2014年这一比率增长了56%。剖宫产对产妇和新生儿有多种并发症,且术后产妇再次入院给国家带来额外成本。尽管剖宫产有诸多并发症,产科医生和助产士并不推荐;但某些因素会影响这种分娩方式的选择。

方法

我们使用了2015年伊朗健康科学研究所(IIHSR)的数据。我们研究了社会经济和人口因素以及补充保险状况等因素在剖宫产选择中的影响。我们使用多水平零膨胀模型对数据进行建模。

结果

居住在城市地区、高收入、年龄大于34岁且有补充保险的就业女性更有可能选择剖宫产。另一方面,受教育程度高的女性、至少使用一种媒体(如广播、电视等)的女性以及使用避孕方法的女性选择剖宫产的较少。

结论

我们的研究结果凸显了补充保险和社会经济地位在女性选择剖宫产中的重要性。然而,在某些情况下,尤其是在社会富裕阶层,这种分娩方式的高成本并未影响其选择的减少,政府应在使用这种方法时采取严格政策。

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本文引用的文献

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Indications for and Risks of Elective Cesarean Section.选择性剖宫产的指征与风险
Dtsch Arztebl Int. 2015 Jul 20;112(29-30):489-95. doi: 10.3238/arztebl.2015.0489.
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Rate of caesarean section is alarming in China.中国的剖宫产率令人担忧。
Lancet. 2014 Apr 26;383(9927):1463-1464. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60716-9.

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