School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Jun 15;18(12):6478. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18126478.
Air pollution is one of the major environmental problems that endanger human health. The COVID-19 pandemic provided an excellent opportunity to investigate the possible methods to improve Beijing's air quality meanwhile considering Beijing's economic impact. We used the TVP-VAR model to analyze the dynamic relationship among the pandemic, economy and air quality based on the daily data from 1 January to 30 August 2020. The result shows that the COVID-19 pandemic indeed had a positive effect on air governance which was good for human health, while doing business as usual would gradually weaken this effect. It shows that the Chinese authority's production restriction effectively deals with air pollution in a short period of time since the pandemic is just like a quasi-experiment that suddenly suspended all the companies. However, as the limitation stops, the improvement decreases. It is not sustainable. In addition, a partial quarantine also has a positive impact on air quality, which means a partial limitation was also helpful in improving air quality and also played an important role in protecting people's health. Second, the control measures really hurt Beijing's economy. However, the partial quarantine had fewer adverse effects on the economy than the lockdown. It is supposed to be a reference for air governance and pandemic control. Third, the more the lag periods were, the smaller their impact. Thus, restrictions on production can only be used in emergencies, such as some international meetings, while it is hard to improve the air quality and create a healthy and comfortable living environment only by limitation in the long-term.
空气污染是危害人类健康的主要环境问题之一。COVID-19 大流行提供了一个极好的机会,可以在考虑到北京经济影响的同时,研究改善北京空气质量的可能方法。我们使用 TVP-VAR 模型,基于 2020 年 1 月 1 日至 8 月 30 日的每日数据,分析了大流行、经济和空气质量之间的动态关系。结果表明,COVID-19 大流行确实对空气质量治理产生了积极影响,有利于人类健康,而按部就班则会逐渐削弱这种影响。这表明中国当局的生产限制在大流行期间有效地解决了空气污染问题,因为大流行就像是突然暂停所有公司的准实验。然而,随着限制的停止,改善效果逐渐减弱,这种方法并不具有可持续性。此外,局部隔离对空气质量也有积极影响,这意味着局部限制也有助于改善空气质量,并在保护人民健康方面发挥了重要作用。其次,控制措施确实对北京的经济造成了影响。然而,与全面封锁相比,局部隔离对经济的负面影响较小。这为空气治理和大流行控制提供了参考。第三,滞后期越长,其影响越小。因此,生产限制只能在紧急情况下使用,例如一些国际会议,而仅通过限制在长期内难以改善空气质量并创造健康舒适的生活环境。