Soga Masashi, Evans Maldwyn J, Cox Daniel T C, Gaston Kevin J
Graduate School of Agricultural and Life Sciences The University of Tokyo Tokyo Japan.
Fenner School of Environment and Society The Australian National University Canberra ACT Australia.
People Nat (Hoboken). 2021 Jun;3(3):518-527. doi: 10.1002/pan3.10201. Epub 2021 Apr 6.
The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and the global response have dramatically changed people's lifestyles in much of the world. These major changes, as well as the associated changes in impacts on the environment, can alter the dynamics of the direct interactions between humans and nature (hereafter human-nature interactions) far beyond those concerned with animals as sources of novel human coronavirus infections. There may be a variety of consequences for both people and nature.Here, we suggest a conceptual framework for understanding how the COVID-19 pandemic might affect the dynamics of human-nature interactions. This highlights three different, but not mutually exclusive, pathways: changes in (a) , (b) and (c) .Through this framework, we also suggest that there are several feedback loops by which changes in human-nature interactions induced by the COVID-19 pandemic can lead to further changes in these interactions such that the impacts of the pandemic could persist over the long term, including after it has ended.The COVID-19 pandemic, which has had the most tragic consequences, can also be viewed as a 'global natural experiment' in human-nature interactions that can provide unprecedented mechanistic insights into the complex processes and dynamics of these interactions and into possible strategies to manage them to best effect. A free Plain Language Summary can be found within the Supporting Information of this article.
冠状病毒(COVID-19)大流行以及全球应对措施已极大地改变了世界上许多地方人们的生活方式。这些重大变化以及对环境影响的相关变化,可能会改变人与自然之间直接互动的动态(以下简称人与自然互动),其影响远远超出了将动物视为新型人类冠状病毒感染源的范畴。这可能会给人类和自然带来各种后果。
在此,我们提出一个概念框架,以理解COVID-19大流行可能如何影响人与自然互动的动态。这突出了三种不同但并非相互排斥的途径:(a)、(b)和(c)方面的变化。通过这个框架,我们还表明存在几个反馈回路,COVID-19大流行引发的人与自然互动变化可通过这些回路导致这些互动的进一步变化,从而使大流行的影响可能长期持续,包括在大流行结束之后。造成了最悲惨后果的COVID-19大流行,也可被视为一场人与自然互动方面的“全球自然实验”,它能为这些互动的复杂过程和动态以及有效管理它们的可能策略提供前所未有的机制性见解。可在本文的支持信息中找到一份免费的通俗易懂的总结。