Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, 02114, USA.
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA.
Curr HIV/AIDS Rep. 2021 Aug;18(4):271-279. doi: 10.1007/s11904-021-00567-w. Epub 2021 Jul 11.
To provide the current state of the development and application of cardiovascular disease (CVD) prediction tools in people living with HIV (PLWH).
Several risk prediction models developed on the general population are available to predict CVD risk, the most notable being the US-based pooled cohort equations (PCE), the Framingham risk functions, and the Europe-based SCORE (Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation). In validation studies in cohorts of PLWH, these models generally underestimate CVD risk, especially in individuals who are younger, women, Black race, or predicted to be at low/intermediate risk. An HIV-specific CVD prediction model, the Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) model, is available, but its performance is modest, especially in US-based cohorts. Enhancing CVD prediction with novel biomarkers of inflammation or coronary artery calcification is of interest but has not yet been evaluated in PLWH. Finally, studies on CVD risk prediction are lacking in diverse PLWH globally. While available risk models for CVD prediction in PLWH remain suboptimal, clinicians should remain vigilant of higher CVD risk in this population and should use any of these risk scores for risk stratification to guide preventive interventions. Focus on established traditional risk factors such as smoking remains critical in PLWH. Risk prediction functions tailored to PLWH in diverse settings will enhance clinicians' ability to deliver optimal preventive care.
介绍目前心血管疾病(CVD)预测工具在艾滋病毒感染者(PLWH)中的开发和应用现状。
目前有几种针对普通人群开发的风险预测模型可用于预测 CVD 风险,其中最著名的是基于美国的 pooled cohort equations (PCE)、Framingham 风险函数和基于欧洲的 SCORE(Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation)。在 PLWH 队列的验证研究中,这些模型通常低估 CVD 风险,尤其是在年龄较小、女性、黑种人或预测为低/中危的个体中。目前有一个 HIV 特异性 CVD 预测模型,即 Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) 模型,但它的性能一般,尤其是在美国的队列中。用新型炎症或冠状动脉钙化的生物标志物来增强 CVD 预测的效果引起了人们的兴趣,但尚未在 PLWH 中进行评估。最后,全球范围内针对 PLWH 的 CVD 风险预测研究还很缺乏。虽然目前用于预测 PLWH 中 CVD 风险的风险模型仍然不够理想,但临床医生仍应警惕该人群的 CVD 风险较高,并应使用这些风险评分进行风险分层,以指导预防干预措施。关注已经确立的传统风险因素(如吸烟)在 PLWH 中仍然至关重要。在不同环境下针对 PLWH 定制的风险预测功能将增强临床医生提供最佳预防保健的能力。