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基于全球数据分析,使可持续城市交通与公共交通政策趋势保持同步。

Syncing sustainable urban mobility with public transit policy trends based on global data analysis.

机构信息

Civil and Environmental Engineering, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.

Faculty of Engineering, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2021 Jul 20;11(1):14597. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-93741-4.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-021-93741-4
PMID:34285261
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8292461/
Abstract

Unforeseeable developments will accompany progressive COVID-19 recovery globally. Similarly, science will inform changes amidst its own progress. Social isolation and distancing imposed by the pandemic are likely to result in changed habits, behavior, and thinking paradigms. Inevitably, this should affect the tremendous confusion inhibiting automated urban mobility's evolution. While mobility often seems magnanimously resistant to change, using international data, this analysis shows road traffic, the largest net contributor to global warming, is responsible for even greater damages. The core claim justifies replacing private cars (PCs) by existing and future public transit (PT) vehicles. In testing 17 major cities globally, 94% of the scenarios proved PT superior or equivalent to PCs for reducing travel time. As a result, a foreseeable, future scenario shows potential reduction in car traffic by approximately two-thirds compared with the current situation. In two arenas, proactive government can promote such sustainable urban mobility: (1) developing autonomous vehicles for PT only; (2) coordinating standardization for seamless urban mobility. These global decisions for improving our lives in the future are likely to be better received and understood subsequent to COVID-19, as the focus of our concerns changes from what preoccupied us under the circumstances prior to the pandemic.

摘要

全球范围内,新冠肺炎的康复进程将伴随着不可预见的发展。同样,科学也会在其自身发展过程中提供信息,以改变现状。大流行期间实施的社会隔离和距离限制可能会导致习惯、行为和思维模式的改变。不可避免的是,这应该会影响阻碍自动化城市交通发展的巨大混乱。虽然交通似乎对变化具有强大的抵抗力,但通过使用国际数据,本分析表明,道路交通是导致全球变暖的最大净贡献者,其造成的破坏更大。核心主张是通过现有和未来的公共交通(PT)车辆来取代私家车(PC)。在对全球 17 个主要城市进行测试中,94%的情景证明,在减少出行时间方面,PT 优于或等同于 PC。因此,可以预见的是,与当前情况相比,未来的情景显示汽车交通流量可能减少约三分之二。在两个领域,政府可以采取积极行动来推动这种可持续的城市交通发展:(1)仅为 PT 开发自动驾驶汽车;(2)协调标准化,实现无缝城市交通。在大流行之后,这些改善我们未来生活的全球决策可能会更好地被接受和理解,因为我们的关注点从大流行前的情况所关注的问题转移了。

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