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一个包含受感染移民和康复移民的SEIR模型。

An SEIR model with infected immigrants and recovered emigrants.

作者信息

Witbooi Peter J

机构信息

Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of the Western Cape, Robert Sobukwe Rd, Bellville, 7530 South Africa.

出版信息

Adv Differ Equ. 2021;2021(1):337. doi: 10.1186/s13662-021-03488-5. Epub 2021 Jul 16.

Abstract

We present a deterministic SEIR model of the said form. The population in point can be considered as consisting of a local population together with a migrant subpopulation. The migrants come into the local population for a short stay. In particular, the model allows for a constant inflow of individuals into different classes and constant outflow of individuals from the R-class. The system of ordinary differential equations has positive solutions and the infected classes remain above specified threshold levels. The equilibrium points are shown to be asymptotically stable. The utility of the model is demonstrated by way of an application to measles.

摘要

我们给出了上述形式的确定性SEIR模型。所讨论的人群可被视为由本地人群和移民亚人群组成。移民进入本地人群作短暂停留。特别地,该模型允许个体持续流入不同类别,且个体从康复类持续流出。常微分方程组有正解,且感染类别保持在特定阈值水平之上。平衡点被证明是渐近稳定的。通过对麻疹的应用展示了该模型的实用性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8e75/8283395/5ca6b5ac0d65/13662_2021_3488_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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