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感染者迁入对无病平衡点的影响。

The effect of immigration of infectives on disease-free equilibria.

作者信息

Almarashi Reem M, McCluskey C Connell

机构信息

Saudi Electronic University Jeddah, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

Wilfrid Laurier University Waterloo, ON, Canada.

出版信息

J Math Biol. 2019 Aug;79(3):1015-1028. doi: 10.1007/s00285-019-01387-8. Epub 2019 May 24.

DOI:10.1007/s00285-019-01387-8
PMID:31127328
Abstract

Many disease transmission models exhibit a threshold behaviour based on the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text], where the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text] and unstable if [Formula: see text]. However, if a system includes immigration of infected individuals, then there is no disease-free equilibrium. We consider how the disease-free equilibrium moves as the level of immigration of infected individuals is increased from 0, finding, under mild assumptions, that the disease-free equilibrium becomes an endemic equilibrium if [Formula: see text] and leaves the biologically relevant space (by having at least one coordinate become negative) if [Formula: see text].

摘要

许多疾病传播模型基于基本再生数[公式:见正文]表现出阈值行为,即如果[公式:见正文],无病平衡点是局部渐近稳定的,而如果[公式:见正文],则是不稳定的。然而,如果一个系统包括受感染个体的迁入,那么就不存在无病平衡点。我们考虑随着受感染个体迁入水平从0增加,无病平衡点如何移动,发现在温和假设下,如果[公式:见正文],无病平衡点会变成地方病平衡点,如果[公式:见正文],则会离开生物学相关空间(通过至少有一个坐标变为负数)。

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