Species richness and endemism pattern of Fagaceae in Southwest China and their environmental interpretation.

How to accurately model species macro-richness patterns and endemism centers is a key focus of biodiversity conservation efforts and a hot biogeographical topic. Southwest China is one of regions with high Fagaceae species richness, the species diversity patterns and driving mechanisms are unclear. In this study, the distribution pattern of species richness (SR), weighted endemism (WE), and corrected weighted endemism (CWE) indices were estimated based on 7258 occurrence points of 161 Fagaceae species in Southwest China using both occurrence-to grid method and species distribution model (SDM). We used the spatial autoregressive (SAR) model to analyze the relationship between diversity indices and environmental factors. Overall, the three SDM-simulated diversity indices were more continuous in values than that of the occurrence-to grid method, though the distributions of those indices obtained by the two methods were similar. The areas with high SR value were mainly distributed in the south edge of Yunnan, north Guangxi and southwest Guangxi (62-89 species). The maximum of WE concentrated in south Yunnan and west Guangxi (1.77-5.02). The highest CWE (0.07-0.17) was found in southeast Tibet, Qinling-Daba Mountains, southwest Guangxi, and southeast Yunnan. The SAR models showed significant effect of precipita-tion in the driest month, standard deviations of seasonal temperature, altitude range and soil organic carbon content on SR. The effects of precipitation in the driest month, standard deviations of seaso-nal temperature, potential evaporation and altitude range on the WE were significant. The precipitation in the driest month, standard deviations of seasonal temperature, historical temperature change, coefficient of variation of enhanced vegetation index and altitude variation had significant effects on the CWE. The of SAR model for SR, WE and CWE was 0.857, 0.733, 0.593, respectively, being higher than that of ordinary least squares (OLS) (=0.689, 0.425, 0.422). In conclusion, water availability, climate seasonality, habitat heterogeneity, historical climate change and soil condition were the most important factors limiting the distribution of SR and WE of Fagaceae in Southwest China. The SR and WE centers of Fagaceae were located in south and southeast Yunnan, southwest Guangxi, west Guangxi, Qinling-Daba Mountains, and southeast Tibet, where should be adequately protected.