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地理气候因素与孕妇慢性弓形虫病流行率:荟萃分析和荟萃回归。

Geo-climatic factors and prevalence of chronic toxoplasmosis in pregnant women: A meta-analysis and meta-regression.

机构信息

Infectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine Research Center, Health Research Institute, Babol University of Medical Sciences, Babol, Iran.

Cardiovascular Diseases Research Center, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Medicine, Birjand University of Medical Sciences, Birjand, Iran.

出版信息

Environ Pollut. 2021 Nov 1;288:117790. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2021.117790. Epub 2021 Jul 14.

Abstract

In this study, we evaluated the effects of geo-climatic parameters and other potential risk factors on the prevalence of chronic toxoplasmosis (CT) in pregnant women. We searched PubMed/MEDLINE, Web of Science, EMBASE, Scopus, and SciELO databases for seroepidemiological studies published between January 1988, and February 2021. We performed meta-analysis and meta-regression by using a random effect model to synthesize data. A total of 360 eligible datasets, including 1,289,605 pregnant women from 94 countries, were included in this study. The highest and lowest prevalence rates were estimated for latitudes of 0-10° (49.4%) and ≥50° (26.8%); and for the longitude of 80-90° (44.2%) and 110-120° (7.8%), respectively. Concerning climatic parameters, the highest and lowest prevalence rates were estimated in regions with the mean relative humidities of >80% (46.6%) and <40% (27.0); annual precipitation between 1000 and 1500 mm (39.2%) and 250-500 mm (26.8%); and mean annual temperature of 20-30 °C (36.5%), and <7 °C (24.9%), respectively. Meta-regression analyses indicated significant increasing trends in prevalence of CT in pregnant women with decrease in geographical latitude (coefficient, = -0.0035), and geographical longitudes (C = -0.0017). While it was positively associated (P < 0.01) with the mean environmental temperature (C = 0.0047), annual precipitation (C = 0.000064), and mean relative humidity (C = 0.002). Our results highlighted various effects of environmental parameters on the prevalence of CT. Therefore, different regions in the world may benefit from different types of interventions, and thus, novel preventive measures in a region should be developed according to local climate, agricultural activities and people culture.

摘要

在这项研究中,我们评估了地理气候参数和其他潜在风险因素对孕妇慢性弓形虫病(CT)患病率的影响。我们检索了 1988 年 1 月至 2021 年 2 月期间发表的PubMed/MEDLINE、Web of Science、EMBASE、Scopus 和 SciELO 数据库中的血清流行病学研究。我们使用随机效应模型进行荟萃分析和荟萃回归,以综合数据。共有 360 个符合条件的数据集,包括来自 94 个国家的 1289605 名孕妇,包括在本研究中。纬度在 0-10°(49.4%)和≥50°(26.8%)之间以及经度在 80-90°(44.2%)和 110-120°(7.8%)之间的地区估计的患病率最高和最低。关于气候参数,在相对湿度大于 80%(46.6%)和小于 40%(27.0%)的地区估计的患病率最高和最低;年降水量在 1000-1500 毫米(39.2%)和 250-500 毫米(26.8%)之间;年平均温度在 20-30°C(36.5%)和<7°C(24.9%)之间的地区估计的患病率最高和最低。荟萃回归分析表明,随着地理纬度(系数=-0.0035)和地理经度(C=-0.0017)的降低,孕妇 CT 患病率呈显著上升趋势。而与环境温度(C=0.0047)、年降水量(C=0.000064)和平均相对湿度(C=0.002)呈正相关(P<0.01)。我们的研究结果强调了环境参数对 CT 患病率的多种影响。因此,世界上不同地区可能受益于不同类型的干预措施,因此,应根据当地气候、农业活动和人民文化在一个地区制定新的预防措施。

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