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心脏手术后机械通气延长的预测评分的制定与验证。

Development and Validation of a Predictive Score for Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation After Cardiac Surgery.

机构信息

Sorbonne Université, Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP), Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Institute of Cardiology, GRC 29, Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital, Paris, France.

Neuroradiology Department, CH Sainte-Anne, Paris, France.

出版信息

J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth. 2022 Mar;36(3):825-832. doi: 10.1053/j.jvca.2021.07.016. Epub 2021 Jul 10.

DOI:10.1053/j.jvca.2021.07.016
PMID:34330573
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

The authors aimed to identify risk factors associated with prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) after scheduled cardiac surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB).

DESIGN

A single-center, observational study.

SETTING

Tertiary hospital.

PARTICIPANTS

All adult patients who underwent scheduled cardiac surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass between January 2017 and December 2017.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENT AND MAIN RESULTS

Among the 568 patients included, 68 (12.0%) presented a PMV. The median ventilation time was 5.7 hours in the group without PMV and 85.2 hours in the group with PMV. A logistic regression found five variables independently associated with the occurrence of PMV: (1) prior cardiac surgery, (2) preoperative congestive heart failure, (3) preoperative creatinine clearance <30 mL/min/1.73 m², (4) intraoperative implantation of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, and (5) serum lactate >4 mmol/L on admission. A predictive score to allow the authors to anticipate PMV was developed from the regression coefficient of perioperative factors independently associated with PMV. With a threshold of 2/13, the score had a sensitivity of 80.9%, a specificity of 80.5%, a positive predictive value of 37.2%, and a negative predictive value of 96.7%. The score then was validated in a distinct cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The study authors have developed a simple score to predict PMV in patients undergoing cardiac surgery with CPB. This score could allow clinicians to identify a high-risk population that might benefit from specific management upon arrival in the intensive care unit.

摘要

目的

作者旨在确定与体外循环(CPB)下择期心脏手术后机械通气时间延长(PMV)相关的危险因素。

设计

单中心、观察性研究。

地点

三级医院。

参与者

2017 年 1 月至 2017 年 12 月期间在 CPB 下行择期心脏手术的所有成年患者。

干预措施

无。

测量和主要结果

在纳入的 568 例患者中,68 例(12.0%)出现 PMV。无 PMV 组的中位通气时间为 5.7 小时,PMV 组为 85.2 小时。Logistic 回归发现五个变量与 PMV 的发生独立相关:(1)既往心脏手术,(2)术前充血性心力衰竭,(3)术前肌酐清除率<30 mL/min/1.73 m²,(4)术中植入体外膜氧合,和(5)入院时血清乳酸>4 mmol/L。从与 PMV 独立相关的围手术期因素的回归系数中,作者开发了一种预测 PMV 的评分。阈值为 2/13 时,该评分的敏感性为 80.9%,特异性为 80.5%,阳性预测值为 37.2%,阴性预测值为 96.7%。然后在一个独立的队列中验证了该评分。

结论

作者开发了一种简单的评分来预测接受 CPB 心脏手术的患者发生 PMV 的可能性。该评分可帮助临床医生识别出高危人群,这些人群在入住重症监护病房时可能需要特定的管理。

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