The Arctic University Museum of Norway, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway.
Department of Arctic and Marine Biology, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway.
Sci Adv. 2021 Jul 30;7(31). doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abf9557. Print 2021 Jul.
The effects of climate change on species richness are debated but can be informed by the past. Here, we generated a sedimentary ancient DNA dataset covering 10 lakes and applied novel methods for data harmonization. We assessed the impact of Holocene climate changes and nutrients on terrestrial plant richness in northern Fennoscandia. We find that richness increased steeply during the rapidly warming Early Holocene. In contrast to findings from most pollen studies, we show that richness continued to increase thereafter, although the climate was stable, with richness and the regional species pool only stabilizing during the past three millennia. Furthermore, overall increases in richness were greater in catchments with higher soil nutrient availability. We suggest that richness will increase with ongoing warming, especially at localities with high nutrient availability and assuming that human activity remains low in the region, although lags of millennia may be expected.
气候变化对物种丰富度的影响存在争议,但可以从过去得到启示。在这里,我们生成了一个涵盖 10 个湖泊的沉积古 DNA 数据集,并应用了新颖的数据协调方法。我们评估了全新世气候变化和养分对北欧芬诺斯坎迪亚北部陆地植物丰富度的影响。我们发现,在全新世早期快速变暖期间,丰富度急剧增加。与大多数花粉研究的结果相反,我们表明,此后丰富度仍在继续增加,尽管气候稳定,区域物种库仅在过去三千年才稳定下来。此外,在土壤养分供应较高的集水区,丰富度的总体增加幅度更大。我们认为,随着持续变暖,特别是在养分供应高的地区,丰富度将增加,并且假设该地区人类活动保持在低水平,尽管可能会出现千年的滞后。