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疏散过程中的出口选择受到疏散人群规模和比例的影响。

Exit choice during evacuation is influenced by both the size and proportion of the egressing crowd.

作者信息

Kinateder Max, Warren William H

机构信息

National Research Council Canada, 1200 Montreal Road, Ottawa ON, K1A0R6, Canada (present address).

Brown University, Department of Cognitive, Linguistic and Psychological Sciences, Box 1821, Providence, RI 02912, USA.

出版信息

Physica A. 2021 May 1;569. doi: 10.1016/j.physa.2021.125746. Epub 2021 Jan 15.

Abstract

It is unclear how building occupants take information from the social and built environment into account when choosing an egress route during emergency evacuation. Conflicting tendencies have been previously reported: to follow the crowd, to avoid congestion, and to avoid unknown egress routes alone. We hypothesize that these tendencies depend on an interaction between social influence and the affordances (opportunities for egress) of the built environment. In three virtual reality (VR) experiments (each = 15), we investigated how social influence interacts with the affordances of available exits to determine exit choice. Participants were immersed in a crowd of virtual humans walking to the left or right exit, and were asked to walk to one of the exits. Experiment 1 tested the role of social influence by manipulating both the proportion of the crowd walking toward one exit (Crowd Proportion of 0 to 100%, in 10% increments) and the absolute number of virtual humans going to the exit (Crowd Size of 10 or 20). Experiment 2 tested the role of affordances by introducing two visible exit doors (1m width) in a closed room, and following the same protocol. Experiment 3 tested larger exit doors (3m width) that afford rapid egress for more people. In the small crowd, participants were increasingly likely to follow the majority as its proportion increased. In the large crowd, however, participants tended to avoid the more crowded exit if the doors were narrow (Experiment 2), but not if the doors were wide (Experiment 3). Participants tended to follow a 100% majority in all experiments, thereby avoiding going to an exit alone. We propose that the dynamics of exit choice can be understood in terms of competition between alternative egress routes: the attraction of an exit increases with the of the crowd moving toward it, becoming dominant at 100%, but decreases with the absolute in the crowd moving toward it, relative to the exit's affordance for egress.

摘要

目前尚不清楚建筑内的人员在紧急疏散时选择逃生路线时如何考虑社会和建筑环境中的信息。此前曾报道过相互矛盾的倾向:跟随人群、避免拥堵以及独自避开未知的逃生路线。我们假设这些倾向取决于社会影响与建筑环境的可供性(逃生机会)之间的相互作用。在三个虚拟现实(VR)实验(每个实验有15名参与者)中,我们研究了社会影响如何与可用出口的可供性相互作用以确定出口选择。参与者沉浸在一群朝着左或右出口行走的虚拟人群中,并被要求走向其中一个出口。实验1通过操纵朝着一个出口行走的人群比例(人群比例从0到100%,以10%的增量变化)和走向该出口的虚拟人物的绝对数量(人群规模为10或20)来测试社会影响的作用。实验2通过在一个封闭房间内引入两个可见的出口门(1米宽)并遵循相同的方案来测试可供性的作用。实验3测试了更大的出口门(3米宽),这些门可供更多人快速逃生。在小人群中,随着多数人群比例的增加,参与者越来越有可能跟随多数人。然而,在大人群中,如果门很窄(实验2),参与者倾向于避开更拥挤的出口,但如果门很宽(实验3)则不会。在所有实验中,参与者倾向于跟随100%的多数人群,从而避免独自走向一个出口。我们提出,出口选择的动态过程可以根据替代逃生路线之间的竞争来理解:一个出口的吸引力随着朝着它移动的人群比例的增加而增加,在100%时占主导地位,但随着朝着它移动的人群的绝对数量相对于出口的逃生可供性的增加而降低。

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