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新冠疫情与生态、经济和社会条件的关系。

Relationship Between the COVID-19 Pandemic and Ecological, Economic, and Social Conditions.

机构信息

Independent Researcher, Budapest, Hungary.

Department of Computer Science, Institute of Mathematics, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2021 Jul 23;9:694191. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.694191. eCollection 2021.

DOI:10.3389/fpubh.2021.694191
PMID:34368060
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8342766/
Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic had huge impacts on the global world, with both a negative impact on society and economy but a positive one on nature. But this universal effect resulted in different infection rates from country to country. We analyzed the relationship between the pandemic and ecological, economic, and social conditions. All of these data were collected in 140 countries at six time points. Correlations were studied using univariate and multivariate regression models. The world was interpreted as a single global ecosystem consisting of ecosystem units representing countries. We first studied 140 countries around the world together, and infection rates were related to per capita GDP, Ecological Footprint, median age, urban population, and Biological Capacity, globally. We then ranked the 140 countries according to infection rates. We created four groups with 35 countries each. In the first group of countries, the infection rate was very high and correlated with the Ecological Footprint (consumption) and GDP per capita (production). This group is dominated by developed countries, and their ecological conditions have proved to be particularly significant. In country groups 2, 3, and 4, infection rates were high, medium, and low, respectively, and were mainly related to median age and urban population. In the scientific discussion, we have interpreted why infection rates are very high in developed countries. Sustainable ecosystems are balanced, unlike the ecosystems of developed countries. The resilience and the health of both natural ecosystems and humans are closely linked to the world of microbial communities, the microbiomes of the biosphere. It is clear that both the economy and society need to be in harmony with nature, creating sustainable ecosystems in developed countries as well.

摘要

COVID-19 大流行对全球产生了巨大影响,对社会和经济造成了负面影响,但对自然产生了积极影响。但这种普遍影响导致了各国之间不同的感染率。我们分析了大流行与生态、经济和社会条件之间的关系。所有这些数据都是在六个时间点从 140 个国家收集的。使用单变量和多变量回归模型研究相关性。将世界解释为一个由代表国家的生态系统单元组成的单一全球生态系统。我们首先一起研究了全球 140 个国家,感染率与人均 GDP、生态足迹、中位数年龄、城市人口和生物容量有关。然后,我们根据感染率对 140 个国家进行了排名。我们创建了四个组,每组 35 个国家。在第一组国家中,感染率非常高,与生态足迹(消费)和人均 GDP(生产)相关。这个群体主要由发达国家组成,他们的生态条件被证明是特别重要的。在第 2、3 和 4 组国家中,感染率分别较高、中和低,主要与中位数年龄和城市人口有关。在科学讨论中,我们解释了为什么发达国家的感染率非常高。可持续的生态系统是平衡的,而发达国家的生态系统则不是。自然生态系统和人类的恢复力和健康与微生物群落的世界,即生物圈的微生物组密切相关。很明显,经济和社会都需要与自然和谐相处,在发达国家建立可持续的生态系统。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f21f/8342766/36d42757ae29/fpubh-09-694191-g0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f21f/8342766/36d42757ae29/fpubh-09-694191-g0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f21f/8342766/36d42757ae29/fpubh-09-694191-g0001.jpg

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Urbanisation reduces the abundance and diversity of airborne microbes - but what does that mean for our health? A systematic review.城市化降低了空气中微生物的丰度和多样性,但这对我们的健康意味着什么?一项系统评价。
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