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新冠疫情缓解措施是否降低了中国的早产率?

Are COVID-19 mitigation measures reducing preterm birth rate in China?

机构信息

Department of Obstetrics, Shanghai First Maternity and Infant Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.

Department of Obstetrics, Shanghai First Maternity and Infant Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China

出版信息

BMJ Glob Health. 2021 Aug;6(8). doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2021-006359.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Preterm birth is the leading cause of child morbidity and mortality globally. We aimed to determine the impact of the COVID-19 mitigation measures implemented in China on 23 January 2020 on the incidence of preterm birth in our institution.

DESIGN

Logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the association between the national COVID-19 mitigation measures implemented in China and the incidence of preterm birth.

SETTING

Shanghai First Maternity and Infant Hospital, Shanghai China.

PARTICIPANTS

All singleton deliveries abstracted from electronic medical record between 1 January 2014 to 31 December 2020.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Preterm birth rate.

RESULTS

Data on 164 107 singleton deliveries were available. COVID-19 mitigation measures were consistently associated with significant reductions in preterm birth in the 2-month, 3-month, 4-month, 5-month time windows after implementation (+2 months, OR 0.80, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.94; +3 months, OR 0.83, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.94; +4 months, OR 0.82, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.92; +5 months, OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.93). These reductions in preterm birth were obvious across various degrees of prematurity, but were statistically significant only in moderate-to-late preterm birth (32 complete weeks to 36 weeks and 6 days) subgroup. The preterm birth difference disappeared gradually after various restrictions were removed (7th-12th month of 2020, OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.11). There was no difference in stillbirth rate across the study time window.

CONCLUSION

Substantial decreases in preterm birth rates were observed following implementation of the national COVID-19 mitigation measures in China. Further study is warranted to explore the underlying mechanisms associated with this observation.

摘要

目的

早产是全球儿童发病和死亡的主要原因。我们旨在确定中国 2020 年 1 月 20 日实施的 COVID-19 缓解措施对我院早产发生率的影响。

设计

使用逻辑回归分析来调查中国实施的国家 COVID-19 缓解措施与早产发生率之间的关联。

设置

中国上海第一妇婴保健院。

参与者

从 2014 年 1 月 1 日至 2020 年 12 月 31 日期间从电子病历中提取的所有单胎分娩。

主要观察指标

早产率。

结果

共有 164107 例单胎分娩的数据可用。在实施 COVID-19 缓解措施后的 2 个月、3 个月、4 个月和 5 个月时间窗口中,早产率始终呈显著下降趋势(+2 个月,OR 0.80,95%CI 0.69 至 0.94;+3 个月,OR 0.83,95%CI 0.73 至 0.94;+4 个月,OR 0.82,95%CI 0.73 至 0.92;+5 个月,OR 0.84,95%CI 0.76 至 0.93)。这些早产率的降低在各种程度的早产中都很明显,但仅在中晚期早产(32 完整周至 36 周零 6 天)亚组中具有统计学意义。在各种限制解除后,早产差异逐渐消失(2020 年第 7 至 12 个月,OR 1.02,95%CI 0.94 至 1.11)。整个研究时间窗口内,死胎率没有差异。

结论

在中国实施国家 COVID-19 缓解措施后,早产率显著下降。需要进一步研究探索与这一观察结果相关的潜在机制。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/99c6/8361681/fa09b83469f3/bmjgh-2021-006359f01.jpg

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