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心脏围带在预估断奶前犊牛体重方面的准确性。

Accuracy of heart girth tapes in the estimation of weights of pre-weaned calves.

作者信息

Sherwin Virginia, Hyde Robert, Green Martin, Remnant John, Payne Emily, Down Peter

机构信息

School of Veterinary Medicine University of Nottingham Leicestershire UK.

出版信息

Vet Rec Open. 2021 Aug 7;8(1):e16. doi: 10.1002/vro2.16. eCollection 2021 Dec.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Heart girth tapes (HGTs) are often used as an alternative to weight scales for calves. This study investigated the accuracy of HGT in estimating bodyweight and daily liveweight gain (DWLG) of pre-weaned calves, and the impact of inter-observer variation.

METHOD

In Study 1, 119 calves were weighed using HGT and electronic scales on multiple occasions. Mixed-effects models for both bodyweight and DLWG were used to determine the accuracy of HGT compared to the electronic scales. Simulation data were used to further analyse the accuracy of DLWG estimation including for factors such as the effect of group size on group DLWG estimates.In Study 2, 10 observers weighed 20 pre-weaned calves, using HGT and electronic scales. Mixed-effect model was used to investigate the impact of different observers on the accuracy of HGT on measuring bodyweights.

RESULTS

Mixed-effects model results suggest HGT provides a relatively accurate estimation of weight (MAE: 2.66 kg) and relatively inaccurate estimation of DLWG (MAE 0.10 kg/d). Simulated data identified associations between time between weight dates and error in DLWG estimation, with MAE of individual DLWG estimation decreasing from 0.43 kg/d when 14 days apart to 0.08 kg/d when 70 days apart. Increased calf numbers reduced error rates of group DLWG estimation, with <0.05 kg/d error achieved in >90% of simulations when 12 calves were weighed 70 days apart.

CONCLUSIONS

HGTs are relatively accurate at estimating individual bodyweights but are unreliable methods for measuring DLWG in individual calves, particularly weighed within a short-time period. Estimates at group level however are relatively accurate, providing there is a suitable period of time between weigh dates and an appropriate number of calves per group.

摘要

背景

胸围尺常用于替代犊牛体重秤。本研究调查了胸围尺在估计断奶前犊牛体重和日增重(DWLG)方面的准确性,以及观察者间差异的影响。

方法

在研究1中,多次使用胸围尺和电子秤对119头犊牛进行称重。使用体重和日增重的混合效应模型来确定胸围尺相对于电子秤的准确性。模拟数据用于进一步分析日增重估计的准确性,包括群体大小对群体日增重估计的影响等因素。在研究2中,10名观察者使用胸围尺和电子秤对20头断奶前犊牛进行称重。使用混合效应模型研究不同观察者对胸围尺测量体重准确性的影响。

结果

混合效应模型结果表明,胸围尺对体重的估计相对准确(平均绝对误差:2.66千克),对日增重的估计相对不准确(平均绝对误差0.10千克/天)。模拟数据确定了称重日期之间的时间与日增重估计误差之间的关联,个体日增重估计的平均绝对误差从间隔14天时的0.43千克/天降至间隔70天时的0.08千克/天。犊牛数量增加降低了群体日增重估计的误差率,当12头犊牛间隔70天称重时,超过90%的模拟中误差<0.05千克/天。

结论

胸围尺在估计个体体重方面相对准确,但在测量个体犊牛日增重方面是不可靠的方法;尤其是在短时间内称重时。然而,在群体水平上的估计相对准确,前提是称重日期之间有合适的时间间隔且每组有适当数量的犊牛。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/26bc/8349223/dd64bbc07959/VRO2-8-e16-g004.jpg

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