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利用信息流行病学指标评估公众对肝移植的兴趣:谷歌趋势分析。

Using Infodemiology Metrics to Assess Public Interest in Liver Transplantation: Google Trends Analysis.

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine I, Gastroenterology, Hepatology, Endocrinology and Metabolism, Medical University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria.

Department of Internal Medicine IV, Nephrology and Hypertensiology, Medical University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria.

出版信息

J Med Internet Res. 2021 Aug 17;23(8):e21656. doi: 10.2196/21656.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation (LT) is the only curative treatment for end-stage liver disease. Less than 10% of global transplantation needs are met worldwide, and the need for LT is still increasing. The death rates on the waiting list remain too high.

OBJECTIVE

It is, therefore, critical to raise awareness among the public and health care providers and in turn increasingly acquire donors.

METHODS

We performed a Google Trends search using the search terms liver transplantation and liver transplant on October 15, 2020. On the basis of the resulting monthly data, the annual average Google Trends indices were calculated for the years 2004 to 2018. We not only investigated the trend worldwide but also used data from the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS), Spain, and Eurotransplant. Using pairwise Spearman correlations, Google Trends indices were examined over time and compared with the total number of liver transplants retrieved from the respective official websites of UNOS, the Organización Nacional de Trasplantes, and Eurotransplant.

RESULTS

From 2004 to 2018, there was a significant decrease in the worldwide Google Trends index from 78.2 in 2004 to 20.5 in 2018 (-71.2%). This trend was more evident in UNOS than in the Eurotransplant group. In the same period, the number of transplanted livers increased worldwide. The waiting list mortality rate was 31% for Eurotransplant and 29% for UNOS. However, in Spain, where there are excellent awareness programs, the Google Trends index remained stable over the years with comparable, increasing LT numbers but a significantly lower waiting list mortality (15%).

CONCLUSIONS

Public awareness in LT has decreased significantly over the past two decades. Therefore, novel awareness programs should be initialized.

摘要

背景

肝移植(LT)是治疗终末期肝病的唯一根治方法。全球范围内,只有不到 10%的全球移植需求得到满足,而且对 LT 的需求仍在不断增加。等待名单上的死亡率仍然过高。

目的

因此,提高公众和医疗保健提供者的认识至关重要,进而逐渐增加供体。

方法

我们于 2020 年 10 月 15 日使用搜索词“liver transplantation”和“liver transplant”在 Google Trends 上进行了搜索。根据得出的月度数据,我们计算了 2004 年至 2018 年每年的平均 Google Trends 指数。我们不仅调查了全球的趋势,还使用了美国器官共享网络(UNOS)、西班牙和欧洲器官移植组织(Eurotransplant)的数据。使用两两 Spearman 相关分析,我们考察了 Google Trends 指数随时间的变化,并将其与从 UNOS、西班牙国家移植组织(Organización Nacional de Trasplantes)和 Eurotransplant 的官方网站检索到的肝移植总数进行了比较。

结果

从 2004 年至 2018 年,全球的 Google Trends 指数从 2004 年的 78.2 显著下降到 2018 年的 20.5(-71.2%)。这一趋势在 UNOS 比在 Eurotransplant 组中更为明显。同期,全球接受移植的肝脏数量有所增加。Eurotransplant 的等待名单死亡率为 31%,UNOS 为 29%。然而,在西班牙,由于有出色的宣传计划,多年来 Google Trends 指数保持稳定,LT 数量不断增加,但等待名单死亡率显著降低(15%)。

结论

在过去的二十年中,公众对 LT 的认识明显下降。因此,应该启动新的宣传计划。

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