Singh Paramjit, Kumar Surinder
Department of Economics, Panjab University, Chandigarh, India.
Centre for Research in Rural and Industrial Development, Chandigarh, India.
Indian J Labour Econ. 2021;64(3):595-619. doi: 10.1007/s41027-021-00326-w. Epub 2021 Aug 24.
After examining the concept of demographic dividend and in-depth analysis of the changing demographic profile of Indian population in a comparative framework, in this study it has been argued that the transformation of demographic potential into demographic dividend is predicated on the premise that India adopts state sponsored social-economic policy regime for public health and education for its youth to acquire skills which will be required in the twenty-first century and adopts macroeconomic policies which ensures optimal use of human resources. Otherwise demographic dividend will be a myth and a mirage.
在审视了人口红利的概念并在一个比较框架中深入分析了印度人口结构的变化之后,本研究认为,人口潜力向人口红利的转变基于这样一个前提,即印度采取国家主导的社会经济政策体系,用于为其青年提供公共卫生和教育,以使他们获得21世纪所需的技能,并采取确保人力资源得到最优利用的宏观经济政策。否则,人口红利将只是一个神话和幻影。