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埃及的收入不平等与环境退化:来自动态自回归分布滞后方法的证据

Income inequality and environmental degradation in Egypt: evidence from dynamic ARDL approach.

作者信息

Ali Ibrahim Mohamed Ali

机构信息

Department of Economics, Sadat Academy for Management Sciences, Cairo, Egypt.

College of Business Administration, Shaqra University, Shaqra, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Feb;29(6):8408-8422. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-16275-2. Epub 2021 Sep 6.

Abstract

Over the past four decades, the Egyptian economy has suffered from both income inequality and environmental degradation. This dual problem raises the question about the nature of the relationship between inequality and the environment in a developing country like Egypt. In this regard, the study aims to examine the impact of income inequality on carbon emissions during the period 1975-2017. The analysis considers the ability of the political economy approach compared to the Keynesian trade-off approach to explain the inequality-environment relationship in Egypt. To do this, the novel dynamic autoregressive distributed lags approach is employed to capture the short-run and long-run relationships and to overcome the complications associated with the structure of the widely used autoregressive distributive lags model. The findings show that the relationship between inequality and CO emissions is not a trade-off. Rather, inequality leads to environmental deterioration in the long run, but there is no significant effect in the short run. In the long run, a 1% rise in the Gini coefficient increases CO emissions by 2.28%. These results support the political economy approach in explaining the inequality-environment nexus. Hence, the economic development policies adopted in Egypt during the past four decades have led to a negative impact on the environment. The study advises economic policy makers in Egypt to adopt income redistribution policies to reduce the severity of income inequality. Improving income distribution has a positive effect on the environment in Egypt.

摘要

在过去的四十年里,埃及经济一直遭受收入不平等和环境退化的困扰。这个双重问题引发了对于像埃及这样的发展中国家不平等与环境之间关系本质的疑问。在这方面,该研究旨在考察1975年至2017年期间收入不平等对碳排放的影响。分析比较了政治经济学方法与凯恩斯主义权衡方法解释埃及不平等与环境关系的能力。为此,采用了新颖的动态自回归分布滞后方法来捕捉短期和长期关系,并克服与广泛使用的自回归分布滞后模型结构相关的复杂性。研究结果表明,不平等与碳排放之间的关系并非权衡关系。相反,从长期来看,不平等会导致环境恶化,但在短期内没有显著影响。从长期来看,基尼系数每上升1%,碳排放就会增加2.28%。这些结果支持了政治经济学方法对不平等与环境关系的解释。因此,埃及在过去四十年里采取的经济发展政策对环境产生了负面影响。该研究建议埃及的经济政策制定者采取收入再分配政策,以减轻收入不平等的严重程度。改善收入分配对埃及的环境有积极影响。

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