Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400, Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia.
Department of Land Management, Faculty of Agriculture, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400, Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2016 Jun;23(12):12435-43. doi: 10.1007/s11356-016-6437-3. Epub 2016 Mar 17.
The objective of this paper is to examine the dynamic impact of urbanization, economic growth, energy consumption, and trade openness on CO 2 emissions in Nigeria based on autoregressive distributed lags (ARDL) approach for the period of 1971-2011. The result shows that variables were cointegrated as null hypothesis was rejected at 1 % level of significance. The coefficients of long-run result reveal that urbanization does not have any significant impact on CO 2 emissions in Nigeria, economic growth, and energy consumption has a positive and significant impact on CO 2 emissions. However, trade openness has negative and significant impact on CO 2 emissions. Consumption of energy is among the main determinant of CO 2 emissions which is directly linked to the level of income. Despite the high level of urbanization in the country, consumption of energy still remains low due to lower income of the majority populace and this might be among the reasons why urbanization does not influence emissions of CO 2 in the country. Initiating more open economy policies will be welcoming in the Nigerian economy as the openness leads to the reduction of pollutants from the environment particularly CO 2 emissions which is the major gases that deteriorate physical environment.
本文旨在利用 1971-2011 年的自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法,考察城市化、经济增长、能源消费和贸易开放度对尼日利亚二氧化碳排放的动态影响。结果表明,在 1%的显著性水平下,变量是协整的,零假设被拒绝。长期结果的系数表明,城市化对尼日利亚的二氧化碳排放没有任何显著影响,经济增长和能源消费对二氧化碳排放有正向和显著的影响。然而,贸易开放度对二氧化碳排放有负向和显著的影响。能源消费是二氧化碳排放的主要决定因素之一,与收入水平直接相关。尽管该国城市化水平很高,但由于大多数民众的收入较低,能源消费仍然很低,这可能是城市化对该国二氧化碳排放没有影响的原因之一。尼日利亚经济采取更加开放的经济政策将是受欢迎的,因为开放度导致环境污染物的减少,特别是二氧化碳排放,这是恶化物理环境的主要气体。