Buerger Olga, Elger Tania, Varthaliti Antonia, Syngelaki Argyro, Wright Alan, Nicolaides Kypros H
Fetal Medicine Research Institute, King's College Hospital, London SE5 8BB, UK.
Institute of Health Research, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4QG, UK.
J Clin Med. 2021 Aug 25;10(17):3814. doi: 10.3390/jcm10173814.
We previously reported a logistic regression model for prediction of GDM from maternal characteristics and medical history in 75,161 singleton pregnancies. In this study of 1376 twin and 13,760 singleton pregnancies recruited at 11-13 weeks' gestation, we extend the model to include terms for twin pregnancies. We found the respective odds of GDM in dichorionic and monochorionic twin pregnancies to be 1.36 (95% CI: 1.02-1.81) and 2.78 (95% CI: 1.72-4.48) times higher than in singleton pregnancies. In both singleton and twin pregnancies, the risk for GDM increased with maternal age and weight and birth weight z-score of a baby in a previous pregnancy and is higher in women with a previous pregnancy complicated by GDM; in those with a first- or second-degree relative with diabetes mellitus; in women of Black, East Asian, and South Asian racial origin; and in pregnancies conceived through the use of ovulation-induction drugs. In singleton pregnancies, at 10% and 20% false-positive rate, the detection rate was 43% and 58%, respectively. In twin pregnancies, using risk cut-offs corresponding to 10% and 20% false-positive rates in singletons, the respective false-positive rates were 27% and 47%, and the detection rates were 63% and 81%.
我们之前报道了一个基于75161例单胎妊娠孕妇特征和病史预测妊娠期糖尿病(GDM)的逻辑回归模型。在这项纳入了1376例双胎妊娠和13760例单胎妊娠(孕11 - 13周时招募)的研究中,我们扩展了该模型,纳入了双胎妊娠相关项。我们发现,双绒毛膜双胎妊娠和单绒毛膜双胎妊娠患GDM的相应比值比分别比单胎妊娠高1.36倍(95%可信区间:1.02 - 1.81)和2.78倍(95%可信区间:1.72 - 4.48)。在单胎妊娠和双胎妊娠中,GDM风险均随孕妇年龄、体重、前次妊娠婴儿出生体重z评分增加而升高,且在前次妊娠合并GDM的女性、有糖尿病一级或二级亲属的女性、黑人、东亚和南亚种族女性以及使用促排卵药物受孕的妊娠中更高。在单胎妊娠中,在假阳性率为10%和20%时,检出率分别为43%和58%。在双胎妊娠中,使用与单胎妊娠中10%和20%假阳性率对应的风险截断值时,假阳性率分别为27%和47%,检出率分别为63%和81%。