Suppr超能文献

改进的神经网络叶片模式识别在2019冠状病毒病大流行防控中的应用。

Adoption of improved neural network blade pattern recognition in prevention and control of corona virus disease-19 pandemic.

作者信息

Ma Yanli, Li Zhonghua, Gou Jixiang, Ding Lihua, Yang Dong, Feng Guiliang

机构信息

School of Information Science and Engineering, Hebei North University, Zhangjiakou 075000, China.

Unit 68003 of the PLA, Wuwei 733000, China.

出版信息

Pattern Recognit Lett. 2021 Nov;151:275-280. doi: 10.1016/j.patrec.2021.08.033. Epub 2021 Sep 15.

Abstract

To explore the adoption effect of improved neural network blade pattern in corona virus disease (COVID)-19, comparative analysis is implemented. First, the following hypotheses are proposed. I: in addition to the confirmed cases and deaths, people suspected of being infected are also involved in the spread of the epidemic. II: patients who have been cured may also develop secondary infections, so it is considered that there is still a link between cured cases and the spread of the epidemic. III: only the relevant data of the previous day is used to predict the epidemic prevention and control of the next day. Then, the epidemic data from February 1st to February 15th in X province were selected as the control. The combined neural network model is used for prevention and control prediction, and the prediction results of the traditional neural network model are compared. The results show that the predictions of the daily new cases by the five neural network models have little difference with the actual value, and the trend is basically consistent. However, there are still differences in some time nodes. The errors of neural network 1 on the 6th and network 3 on the 13th are large. The accuracy of the combined neural network prediction model is high, and there is little difference between the result and the actual value at each time node. The prediction of the cumulative number of diagnoses per day of the five neural network models is also analyzed, and the results are relatively ideal. In addition, the accuracy of the combined neural network prediction model is high, and the difference between the result and the actual value at each time node is relatively small. It is found that the standard deviations of neural networks 2 and 3 are relatively high through the comparison of the deviations. The deviation means of the five models were all relatively low, and the mean deviation and standard deviation of the combined neural network model are the lowest. It is found that the accuracy of prediction on the epidemic spread in this province is good by comparing the performance of each neural network model. Regarding various indicators, the prediction accuracy of the combined neural network model is higher than that of the other four models, and its performance is also the best. Finally, the MSE of the improved neural network model is lower compared with the traditional neural network model. Moreover, with the change of learning times, the change trend of MSE is constant ( < 0.05 for all). In short, the improved neural network blade model has better performance compared with that of the traditional neural network blade model. The prediction results of the epidemic situation are accurate, and the application effect is remarkable, so the proposed model is worthy of further promotion and application in the medical field.

摘要

为探究改进的神经网络叶片模型在新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)中的应用效果,进行了对比分析。首先,提出以下假设。假设一:除确诊病例和死亡病例外,疑似感染人群也参与疫情传播。假设二:治愈患者可能会出现二次感染,因此认为治愈病例与疫情传播仍存在关联。假设三:仅使用前一天的相关数据来预测次日的疫情防控情况。然后,选取X省2月1日至2月15日的疫情数据作为对照,采用组合神经网络模型进行防控预测,并与传统神经网络模型的预测结果进行比较。结果表明,5个神经网络模型对每日新增病例的预测值与实际值差异较小,趋势基本一致,但在某些时间节点仍存在差异,如神经网络1在第6天、神经网络3在第13天的误差较大。组合神经网络预测模型的准确率较高,各时间节点的结果与实际值差异较小。同时分析了5个神经网络模型对每日累计诊断数的预测情况,结果较为理想。此外,组合神经网络预测模型的准确率较高,各时间节点的结果与实际值差异相对较小。通过偏差比较发现,神经网络2和3的标准差相对较高,5个模型的偏差均值均相对较低,组合神经网络模型的平均偏差和标准差最低。通过比较各神经网络模型的性能发现,该模型对该省疫情传播的预测准确性良好。在各项指标方面,组合神经网络模型的预测准确率高于其他4个模型,性能也最佳。最后,改进的神经网络模型与传统神经网络模型相比,均方误差(MSE)较低。而且,随着学习次数的变化,MSE的变化趋势恒定(所有均<0.05)。总之,改进的神经网络叶片模型与传统神经网络叶片模型相比性能更优,疫情预测结果准确,应用效果显著,该模型值得在医疗领域进一步推广应用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c3b5/8442304/fcd4f3bdfd9c/gr1_lrg.jpg

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验