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新冠疫情及居家令对堕胎产生的意外影响。

The unintended effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and stay-at-home orders on abortions.

作者信息

Marquez-Padilla Fernanda, Saavedra Biani

机构信息

Department of Economics, CIDE, Carr. Mexico-Toluca 3655, Santa Fe, Altavista, Alvaro Obregon, 01210 Ciudad de Mexico, Mexico.

出版信息

J Popul Econ. 2022;35(1):269-305. doi: 10.1007/s00148-021-00874-x. Epub 2021 Sep 15.

Abstract

We study the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic and of government mandated mitigation policies on the number of abortions performed by Mexico City's public abortion program. We find that the COVID-19 pandemic and stay-at-home orders (SAHO) implemented in Mexico led to unintended consequences for women's sexual and reproductive health. Using difference-in-differences and event study analyses, we show that SAHO and the pandemic led to a fall in abortions of around 25% and find no evidence that unsafe abortions increased. We find a decrease in the share of single and teenage women getting abortions, arguably due to fewer unwanted pregnancies from decreased sexual activity, and estimate that at most 9.8% of the total fall in abortions can be attributed to this. We complement our analysis using call data from a government helpline and show that the SAHO time period led to fewer abortion- and contraception-related calls but to an increase in pregnancy-related calls.

摘要

我们研究了新冠疫情以及政府强制实施的缓解政策对墨西哥城公共堕胎项目的堕胎数量的影响。我们发现,墨西哥实施的新冠疫情和居家令(SAHO)给女性的性健康和生殖健康带来了意想不到的后果。通过双重差分法和事件研究分析,我们表明居家令和疫情导致堕胎数量下降了约25%,且没有证据表明不安全堕胎有所增加。我们发现,堕胎的单身女性和青少年女性的比例有所下降,这可以说是由于性活动减少导致意外怀孕减少所致,并且估计堕胎总数下降中最多9.8%可归因于此。我们利用政府热线的通话数据对分析进行补充,结果表明居家令期间与堕胎和避孕相关的电话减少,但与怀孕相关的电话增加。

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