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2019冠状病毒病与髋部骨折手术及时性的地区差异:一项中断时间序列分析

COVID-19 and regional differences in the timeliness of hip-fracture surgery: an interrupted time-series analysis.

作者信息

Golinelli Davide, Lenzi Jacopo, Adorno Emanuele, Gianino Maria Michela, Fantini Maria Pia

机构信息

Department of Biomedical and Neuromotor Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.

Department of Public Health Sciences and Pediatrics, University of Turin, Turin, Italy.

出版信息

PeerJ. 2021 Aug 31;9:e12046. doi: 10.7717/peerj.12046. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

It is of great importance to examine the impact of the healthcare reorganization adopted to confront the COVID-19 pandemic on the quality of care provided to non-COVID-19 patients. The aim of this study is to assess the impact of the COVID-19 national lockdown (March 9, 2020) on the quality of care provided to patients with hip fracture (HF) in Piedmont and Emilia-Romagna, two large regions of northern Italy severely hit by the pandemic.

METHODS

We calculated the percentage of HF patients undergoing surgery within 2 days of hospital admission. An interrupted time-series analysis was performed on weekly data from December 11, 2019 to June 9, 2020 (≈6 months), interrupting the series in the 2nd week of March. The same data observed the year before were included as a control time series with no "intervention" (lockdown) in the middle of the observation period.

RESULTS

Before the lockdown, 2-day surgery was 69.9% in Piedmont and 79.2% in Emilia-Romagna; after the lockdown, these proportions were equal to 69.8% (-0.1%) and 69.3% (-9.9%), respectively. While Piedmont did not experience any drop in the amount of surgery, Emilia-Romagna exhibited a significant decline at a weekly rate of -1.29% (95% CI [-1.71 to -0.88]). Divergent trend patterns in the two study regions reflect local differences in pandemic timing as well as in healthcare services capacity, management, and emergency preparedness.

摘要

背景

研究为应对新冠疫情而进行的医疗体系重组对非新冠患者医疗服务质量的影响至关重要。本研究旨在评估2020年3月9日意大利全国新冠疫情封锁措施对意大利北部受疫情严重影响的两个大区皮埃蒙特和艾米利亚 - 罗马涅髋部骨折(HF)患者医疗服务质量的影响。

方法

我们计算了髋部骨折患者入院后2天内接受手术的百分比。对2019年12月11日至2020年6月9日(约6个月)的每周数据进行了中断时间序列分析,在3月的第2周中断该序列。将前一年观察到的相同数据作为对照时间序列,在观察期中间没有“干预”(封锁)。

结果

封锁前,皮埃蒙特的2天内手术率为69.9%,艾米利亚 - 罗马涅为79.2%;封锁后,这些比例分别为69.8%(-0.1%)和69.3%(-9.9%)。虽然皮埃蒙特的手术量没有下降,但艾米利亚 - 罗马涅每周以-1.29%的速度显著下降(95%置信区间[-1.71至-0.88])。两个研究地区不同的趋势模式反映了疫情时间以及医疗服务能力、管理和应急准备方面的地区差异。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/48d3/8415287/94efdb74531a/peerj-09-12046-g001.jpg

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