Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, 615 N. Wolfe Street, Room E6535, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA.
Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
BMC Infect Dis. 2021 Sep 21;21(1):986. doi: 10.1186/s12879-021-06677-5.
While southern Africa experiences among the highest mortality rates from respiratory infections, the burden of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in rural areas is poorly understood.
We implemented facility-based surveillance in Macha, Zambia. Outpatients and inpatients presenting with influenza-like illness (ILI) underwent testing for influenza A, influenza B, and RSV and were prospectively followed for 3 to 5 weeks to assess clinical course. Log-binomial models assessed correlates of infection and clinical severity.
Between December 2018 and December 2019, 17% of all outpatients presented with ILI and 16% of inpatients were admitted with an acute respiratory complaint. Influenza viruses and RSV were detected in 17% and 11% of outpatient participants with ILI, and 23% and 16% of inpatient participants with ILI, respectively. Influenza (July-September) and RSV (January-April) prevalence peaks were temporally distinct. RSV (relative risk [RR]: 1.78; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.51-2.11), but not influenza, infection was associated with severe disease among patients with ILI. Underweight patients with ILI were more likely to be infected with influenza A (prevalence ratio [PR]: 1.72; 95% CI 1.04-2.87) and to have severe influenza A infections (RR: 2.49; 95% CI 1.57-3.93).
Populations in rural Zambia bear a sizeable burden of viral respiratory infections and severe disease. The epidemiology of infections in this rural area differs from that reported from urban areas in Zambia.
尽管南部非洲的呼吸道感染死亡率位居世界前列,但农村地区流感和呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)的负担情况仍不明确。
我们在赞比亚的马查实施了基于医疗机构的监测。出现流感样疾病(ILI)的门诊和住院患者接受了流感 A、流感 B 和 RSV 检测,并前瞻性随访 3 至 5 周,以评估临床病程。对数二项式模型评估了感染和临床严重程度的相关因素。
在 2018 年 12 月至 2019 年 12 月期间,17%的所有门诊患者出现 ILI,16%的住院患者因急性呼吸道疾病入院。ILI 门诊患者中分别有 17%和 11%、ILI 住院患者中分别有 23%和 16%检测到流感病毒和 RSV。流感(7 月至 9 月)和 RSV(1 月至 4 月)的流行高峰时间不同。RSV(相对风险 [RR]:1.78;95%置信区间 [CI]:1.51-2.11)感染与 ILI 患者的严重疾病相关,但流感感染则不然。ILI 体重不足患者更有可能感染甲型流感(流行比 [PR]:1.72;95%CI:1.04-2.87),且甲型流感感染更严重(RR:2.49;95%CI:1.57-3.93)。
赞比亚农村地区的人群承受着相当大的病毒性呼吸道感染和严重疾病负担。该农村地区感染的流行病学与赞比亚城市地区的报道不同。