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部分线性单指标广义平均剩余寿命模型。

Partially linear single-index generalized mean residual life models.

机构信息

Division of Biostatistics, Department of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.

Department of Environmental Medicine, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.

出版信息

Stat Med. 2021 Dec 20;40(29):6707-6722. doi: 10.1002/sim.9207. Epub 2021 Sep 22.

DOI:10.1002/sim.9207
PMID:34553405
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8595843/
Abstract

Mean residual life (MRL) function defines the remaining life expectancy of a subject who has survived to a time point and is an important alternative to the hazard function for characterizing the distribution of a time-to-event variable. Existing MRL models primarily focus on studying the association between risk factors and disease risks using linear model specifications in multiplicative or additive scale. When risk factors have complex correlation structures, nonlinear effects, or interactions, the prefixed linearity assumption may be insufficient to capture the relationship. Single-index modeling framework offers flexibility in reducing dimensionality and modeling nonlinear effects. In this article, we propose a class of partially linear single-index generalized MRL models, the regression component of which consists of both a semiparametric single-index part and a linear regression part. Regression spline technique is employed to approximate the nonparametric single-index function, and parameters are estimated using an iterative algorithm. Double-robust estimators are also proposed to protect against the misspecification of censoring distribution or MRL models. A further contribution of this article is a nonparametric test proposed to formally evaluate the linearity of the single-index function. Asymptotic properties of the estimators are established, and the finite-sample performance is evaluated through extensive numerical simulations. The proposed models and inference approaches are demonstrated by a New York University Langone Health (NYULH) COVID-19 dataset.

摘要

平均剩余寿命 (MRL) 函数定义了已经存活到某一时刻的受试者的剩余预期寿命,是描述事件时间变量分布的风险函数的重要替代方法。现有的 MRL 模型主要侧重于使用乘法或加法比例的线性模型规范来研究风险因素与疾病风险之间的关系。当风险因素具有复杂的相关结构、非线性效应或相互作用时,预先设定的线性假设可能不足以捕捉这种关系。单指标建模框架提供了在降低维度和建模非线性效应方面的灵活性。本文提出了一类部分线性单指标广义 MRL 模型,其回归部分由半参数单指标部分和线性回归部分组成。采用回归样条技术来逼近非参数单指标函数,并使用迭代算法估计参数。还提出了双重稳健估计器,以防止删失分布或 MRL 模型的指定有误。本文的另一个贡献是提出了一个非参数检验方法,用于正式评估单指标函数的线性。建立了估计量的渐近性质,并通过广泛的数值模拟评估了有限样本性能。通过纽约大学朗格尼健康 (NYULH) COVID-19 数据集展示了所提出的模型和推断方法。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/339c/8595843/f2b7bd794ff7/nihms-1741135-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/339c/8595843/ac171f2ccc6e/nihms-1741135-f0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/339c/8595843/f2b7bd794ff7/nihms-1741135-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/339c/8595843/ac171f2ccc6e/nihms-1741135-f0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/339c/8595843/f2b7bd794ff7/nihms-1741135-f0002.jpg