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滑雪和射击之间的平衡——冬季两项追逐赛和集体出发项目成功的决定因素。

The balancing act between skiing and shooting - the determinants of success in biathlon pursuit and mass start events.

机构信息

Swedish Winter Sports Research Centre, Department of Health Sciences, Mid Sweden University, Östersund, Sweden.

Analytical Department, Sport Training Center of the Russian National Teams, Moscow, Russia.

出版信息

J Sports Sci. 2022 Jan;40(1):96-103. doi: 10.1080/02640414.2021.1976493. Epub 2021 Sep 23.

Abstract

This study aimed to investigate how skiing speed (SS), number of missed targets (MT) and range time (RT) were associated with final rank in biathlon pursuit and mass start competitions. Data were collected from the International Biathlon Union's database over 17 seasons. Biathletes were categorised into three groups (rank 1-3, G3; rank 4-10, G10; rank 11-20, G20).  Multinomial regression was used to identify odds ratios associated with group rank in both sexes. The only variable found to be consistently related to G3 in both pursuit and mass start was MT (men OR 1.206-1.729 and women OR 1.340-3.124, all p < 0.01). SS during lap four of pursuit and mass start was most strongly related to G3 for both sexes (men OR 0.231-0.094 and women OR 0.339-0.126, all p < 0.001). RT during shooting four in pursuit was most strongly related to G3 compared to G10 and G20 (men OR 1.067; 95% CI, 1.030-1.105 and women OR 1.076; 95% CI, 1.020-1.134, all p < 0.001, respectively). Accordingly, MT was most strongly related to final rank in both sexes, while SS during lap four and last RT was also significant.

摘要

本研究旨在探讨在追逐赛和集体出发赛中,滑雪速度(SS)、错失目标数(MT)和范围时间(RT)与最终排名的关系。数据来自国际冬季两项联盟 17 个赛季的数据库。将运动员分为三组(排名 1-3,G3;排名 4-10,G10;排名 11-20,G20)。使用多项回归分析确定男女组排名的优势比。在追逐赛和集体出发赛中,唯一与 G3 相关的变量是 MT(男性 OR 1.206-1.729,女性 OR 1.340-3.124,均 p<0.01)。在追逐赛和集体出发赛中,第四圈的 SS 与 G3 最为相关(男性 OR 0.231-0.094,女性 OR 0.339-0.126,均 p<0.001)。在追逐赛的第四枪射击时,RT 与 G3 最为相关,与 G10 和 G20 相比(男性 OR 1.067;95%CI,1.030-1.105;女性 OR 1.076;95%CI,1.020-1.134,均 p<0.001)。因此,MT 与男女运动员的最终排名最相关,而第四圈的 SS 和最后一个 RT 也很重要。

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