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预测外生压力下的价格区间。

Predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress.

机构信息

School of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Curtin University, Bentley, WA, Australia.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2021 Sep 23;16(9):e0255038. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0255038. eCollection 2021.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0255038
PMID:34555026
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8460030/
Abstract

We present an experimental protocol to examine the relationship between exogenously induced stress and confidence in a setting applicable to financial markets. Confidence will be measured by a prediction interval for a one period ahead price forecast, based on a series of 100 previous prices; narrower (wider) prediction intervals will be indicative of greater (lower) confidence. Stress will be induced using the Cold Pressor Arm Wrap, a variation of the Cold Pressor Test. Risk attitudes, and personality traits are also considered as mediating factors.

摘要

我们提出了一个实验方案,旨在检验在适用于金融市场的环境中,外部诱发的压力与信心之间的关系。信心将通过基于过去 100 个价格的一个为期 1 天的价格预测的预测区间来衡量;较窄(宽)的预测区间表示信心较大(小)。压力将通过冷压力臂套来诱发,这是冷压力测试的一种变体。风险态度和人格特质也被认为是中介因素。

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本文引用的文献

1
The socially evaluated cold-pressor test (SECPT) for groups: effects of repeated administration of a combined physiological and psychological stressor.针对不同组别的社会评估冷加压试验(SECPT):联合生理和心理应激源重复给药的影响
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An alternative to the traditional cold pressor test: the cold pressor arm wrap.传统冷加压试验的替代方法:冷加压手臂包裹法。
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Effects of cold pressor stress on the human startle response.冷加压应激对人体惊跳反应的影响。
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Gender differences in reward-related decision processing under stress.应激状态下与奖赏相关的决策加工过程中的性别差异。
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Acute stress increases sex differences in risk seeking in the balloon analogue risk task.急性应激会增加气球模拟风险任务中冒险行为的性别差异。
PLoS One. 2009 Jul 1;4(7):e6002. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0006002.
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Acute stress modulates risk taking in financial decision making.急性应激会调节金融决策中的风险承担。
Psychol Sci. 2009 Mar;20(3):278-83. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9280.2009.02288.x. Epub 2009 Jan 30.
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Endogenous steroids and financial risk taking on a London trading floor.内源性类固醇与伦敦交易大厅的金融冒险行为。
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G*Power 3: a flexible statistical power analysis program for the social, behavioral, and biomedical sciences.G*Power 3:一款适用于社会科学、行为科学和生物医学科学的灵活的统计功效分析程序。
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