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北半球冻土持续时间缩短,面积减小。

Shortened duration and reduced area of frozen soil in the Northern Hemisphere.

作者信息

Li Ting, Chen Yong-Zhe, Han Li-Jian, Cheng Lin-Hai, Lv Yi-He, Fu Bo-Jie, Feng Xiao-Ming, Wu Xing

机构信息

State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, China.

University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China.

出版信息

Innovation (Camb). 2021 Jul 21;2(3):100146. doi: 10.1016/j.xinn.2021.100146. eCollection 2021 Aug 28.

Abstract

The changes in near-surface soil freeze-thaw cycles (FTCs) are crucial to understanding the related hydrological and biological processes in terrestrial ecosystems under a changing climate. However, long-term dynamics of soil FTCs at the hemisphere scale and the underlying mechanisms are not well understood. In this study, the spatiotemporal patterns and main driving factors of soil FTCs across the Northern Hemisphere (NH) during 1979-2017 were analyzed using multisource data fusion and attribution approaches. Our results showed that the duration and the annual mean area of frozen soil in the NH decreased significantly at rates of 0.13 ± 0.04 days/year and 4.9 × 10 km/year, respectively, over the past 40 years. These were mainly because the date of frozen soil onset was significantly delayed by 0.1 ± 0.02 days/year, while the end of freezing and onset of thawing were substantially advanced by 0.21 ± 0.02 and 0.15 ± 0.03 days/year, respectively. Moreover, the interannual FTC changes were more drastic in Eurasia than in North America, especially at mid-latitudes (30°-45° N) and in Arctic regions (>75° N). More importantly, our results highlighted that near-surface air temperature ( ) and snowpack are the main driving factors of the spatiotemporal variations in soil FTCs. Furthermore, our results suggested that the long-term dynamics of soil FTCs at the hemisphere scale should be considered in terrestrial biosphere models to reduce uncertainties in future simulations.

摘要

近地表土壤冻融循环(FTCs)的变化对于理解气候变化下陆地生态系统中相关的水文和生物过程至关重要。然而,半球尺度上土壤FTCs的长期动态及其潜在机制尚未得到充分了解。在本研究中,利用多源数据融合和归因方法分析了1979 - 2017年北半球(NH)土壤FTCs的时空格局和主要驱动因素。我们的结果表明,在过去40年里,NH冻土持续时间和年平均冻土面积分别以0.13±0.04天/年和4.9×10平方千米/年的速率显著下降。这主要是因为冻土开始日期每年显著推迟0.1±0.02天,而冻结结束和融化开始日期分别每年提前0.21±0.02天和0.15±0.03天。此外,欧亚大陆的年际FTC变化比北美更为剧烈,特别是在中纬度地区(北纬30° - 45°)和北极地区(北纬>75°)。更重要的是,我们的结果强调近地表气温( )和积雪是土壤FTCs时空变化的主要驱动因素。此外,我们的结果表明,在陆地生物圈模型中应考虑半球尺度上土壤FTCs的长期动态,以减少未来模拟中的不确定性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/be8a/8454614/9e625b7728cf/fx1.jpg

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