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北半球寒冷地区特征的变化 1901 年至 2019 年。

Characteristics of the Northern Hemisphere cold regions changes from 1901 to 2019.

机构信息

Heilongjiang Province Key Laboratory of Geographical Environment Monitoring and Spatial Information Service in Cold Regions, Harbin Normal University, Harbin, 150025, China.

Heilongjiang Climate Center, Harbin, 150030, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2023 Mar 8;13(1):3879. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-30263-1.

Abstract

The accurate delineation of the spatial extent of cold regions provides the basis for the study of global environmental change. However, attention has been lacking on the temperature-sensitive spatial changes in the cold regions of the Earth in the context of climate warming. In this study, the mean temperature in the coldest month lower than - 3 °C, no more than 5 months over 10 °C, and an annual mean temperature no higher than 5 °C were selected to define cold regions. Based on the Climate Research Unit land surface air temperature (CRUTEM) of monthly mean surface climate elements, the spatiotemporal distribution and variation characteristics of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) continental cold regions from 1901 to 2019 are analyzed in this study, by adopting time trend and correlation analyses. The results show: (1) In the past 119 years, the cold regions of the NH covered on average about 4.074 × 10 km, accounting for 37.82% of the total land area of the NH. The cold regions can be divided into the Mid-to-High latitude cold regions and the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau cold regions, with spatial extents of 3.755 × 10 km and 3.127 × 10 km, respectively. The Mid-to-High latitude cold regions in the NH are mainly distributed in northern North America, most of Iceland, the Alps, northern Eurasia, and the Great Caucasus with a mean southern boundary of 49.48° N. Except for the southwest, the entire region of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, northern Pakistan, and most of Kyrgyzstan are cold regions. (2) In the past 119 years, the rates of change in the spatial extent of the cold regions in the NH, the Mid-to-High latitude, and the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau were - 0.030 × 10 km/10 a, - 0.028 × 10 km/10 a, and - 0.013 × 10 km/10 a, respectively, showing an extremely significant decreasing trend. In the past 119 years, the mean southern boundary of the Mid-to-High latitude cold regions has been retreating northward at all longitudes. For instance, the mean southern boundary of the Eurasian cold regions moved 1.82° to the north and that of North America moved 0.98° to the north. The main contribution of the study lies in the accurate definition of the cold regions and documentation of the spatial variation of the cold regions in the NH, revealing the response trends of the cold regions to climate warming, and deepening the study of global change from a new perspective.

摘要

冷区的准确定义为研究全球环境变化提供了基础。然而,在气候变暖的背景下,人们对地球冷区中温度敏感的空间变化关注较少。本研究选择最冷月平均气温低于-3°C、不超过 10°C 的月份超过 5 个月且年平均气温不高于 5°C 来定义冷区。基于气候研究单位陆地表面气温(CRUTEM)的月平均地表气候要素,采用时间趋势和相关分析方法,分析了 1901 年至 2019 年北半球(NH)大陆冷区的时空分布和变化特征。结果表明:(1)在过去的 119 年中,NH 的冷区平均覆盖面积约为 4.074×10^4km^2,占 NH 陆地总面积的 37.82%。冷区可分为中高纬度冷区和青藏高原冷区,面积分别为 3.755×10^4km^2和 3.127×10^4km^2。NH 的中高纬度冷区主要分布在北美北部、冰岛大部分地区、阿尔卑斯山、欧亚大陆北部和大高加索山脉,平均南界为 49.48°N。除西南部外,整个青藏高原、巴基斯坦北部和吉尔吉斯斯坦大部分地区均为冷区。(2)在过去的 119 年中,NH、中高纬度和青藏高原冷区的冷区空间范围变化率分别为-0.030×10^4km/10a、-0.028×10^4km/10a 和-0.013×10^4km/10a,均呈极显著减少趋势。在过去的 119 年中,中高纬度冷区的平均南界一直在向各经度的北方退缩。例如,欧亚冷区的平均南界向北移动了 1.82°,北美冷区的平均南界向北移动了 0.98°。本研究的主要贡献在于准确定义了冷区,并记录了 NH 冷区的空间变化,揭示了冷区对气候变暖的响应趋势,从新的视角深化了全球变化研究。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3db0/9995312/d759b70064cd/41598_2023_30263_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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