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理解市场崩溃期间金融市场相关性的拓扑结构和几何形状的变化。

Understanding Changes in the Topology and Geometry of Financial Market Correlations during a Market Crash.

作者信息

Yen Peter Tsung-Wen, Xia Kelin, Cheong Siew Ann

机构信息

Center for Crystal Researches, National Sun Yet-Sen University, No. 70, Lien-hai Rd., Kaohsiung 80424, Taiwan.

Division of Mathematical Sciences, School of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Nanyang Technological University, 21 Nanyang Link, Singapore 637371, Singapore.

出版信息

Entropy (Basel). 2021 Sep 14;23(9):1211. doi: 10.3390/e23091211.

Abstract

In econophysics, the achievements of information filtering methods over the past 20 years, such as the minimal spanning tree (MST) by Mantegna and the planar maximally filtered graph (PMFG) by Tumminello et al., should be celebrated. Here, we show how one can systematically improve upon this paradigm along two separate directions. First, we used topological data analysis (TDA) to extend the notions of nodes and links in networks to faces, tetrahedrons, or -simplices in simplicial complexes. Second, we used the Ollivier-Ricci curvature (ORC) to acquire geometric information that cannot be provided by simple information filtering. In this sense, MSTs and PMFGs are but first steps to revealing the topological backbones of financial networks. This is something that TDA can elucidate more fully, following which the ORC can help us flesh out the geometry of financial networks. We applied these two approaches to a recent stock market crash in Taiwan and found that, beyond fusions and fissions, other non-fusion/fission processes such as cavitation, annihilation, rupture, healing, and puncture might also be important. We also successfully identified neck regions that emerged during the crash, based on their negative ORCs, and performed a case study on one such neck region.

摘要

在经济物理学中,过去20年信息过滤方法所取得的成就,比如由曼泰尼亚提出的最小生成树(MST)以及由图米内洛等人提出的平面最大过滤图(PMFG),都值得称赞。在此,我们展示了如何能沿着两个不同方向系统地改进这一范式。首先,我们使用拓扑数据分析(TDA)将网络中节点和链接的概念扩展到单纯复形中的面、四面体或 - 单形。其次,我们使用奥利维耶 - 里奇曲率(ORC)来获取简单信息过滤无法提供的几何信息。从这个意义上说,MST和PMFG仅仅是揭示金融网络拓扑骨架的第一步。这是TDA能够更全面阐明的内容,在此基础上,ORC可以帮助我们充实金融网络的几何结构。我们将这两种方法应用于台湾近期的一次股市崩盘,发现除了融合和裂变之外,其他非融合/裂变过程,如空化、湮灭、破裂、愈合和穿孔,可能也很重要。我们还基于其负ORC成功识别出崩盘期间出现的颈部区域,并对其中一个这样的颈部区域进行了案例研究。

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