Texas A&M University, United States.
J Health Econ. 2021 Dec;80:102533. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2021.102533. Epub 2021 Sep 16.
Beyond a handful of studies examining early-adopting states in the early 1990s, little is known about the causal effects of mandatory waiting periods for abortion. In this study we evaluate the effects of a Tennessee law enacted in 2015 that requires women to make an additional trip to abortion providers for state-directed counseling at least 48 hours before they can obtain an abortion. Our difference-in-differences and synthetic-control estimates indicate that the introduction of the mandatory waiting period caused a 53-69 percent increase in the share of abortions obtained during the second trimester. Our analysis examining overall abortion rates is less conclusive but suggests a reduction caused by the waiting period. To put these estimates into context, we provide back-of-the-envelope calculations on the additional monetary costs that Tennessee's MWP imposes on women seeking abortions.
除了少数几项研究在 20 世纪 90 年代早期考察了早期采用者的情况外,对于堕胎等待期的强制性规定的因果效应知之甚少。在这项研究中,我们评估了 2015 年田纳西州颁布的一项法律的效果,该法律要求女性在获得堕胎之前至少 48 小时,向堕胎提供者进行额外的州指定咨询。我们的差异分析和综合控制估计表明,强制性等待期的引入导致第二个三个月获得的堕胎比例增加了 53%至 69%。我们对整体堕胎率的分析结果不那么确定,但表明等待期导致堕胎率下降。为了将这些估计置于上下文中,我们对田纳西州 MWP 给寻求堕胎的女性带来的额外货币成本进行了简单的计算。