Copenhagen Business School, Frederiksberg, Denmark.
Soc Stud Sci. 2022 Apr;52(2):277-302. doi: 10.1177/03063127211048515. Epub 2021 Oct 6.
This article examines algorithmic trading and some key failures and risks associated with it, including so-called algorithmic 'flash crashes'. Drawing on documentary sources, 189 interviews with market participants, and fieldwork conducted at an algorithmic trading firm, we argue that automated markets are characterized by tight coupling and complex interactions, which render them prone to large-scale technological accidents, according to Perrow's normal accident theory. We suggest that the implementation of ideas from research into high-reliability organizations offers a way for trading firms to curb some of the technological risk associated with algorithmic trading. Paradoxically, however, certain systemic conditions in markets can allow individual firms' high-reliability practices to exacerbate market instability, rather than reduce it. We therefore conclude that in order to make automated markets more stable (and curb the impact of failures), it is important to both widely implement reliability-enhancing practices in trading firms and address the systemic risks that follow from the tight coupling and complex interactions of markets.
本文探讨了算法交易以及与之相关的一些关键失败和风险,包括所谓的算法“闪崩”。本文利用文献资料、对 189 名市场参与者的访谈以及在一家算法交易公司进行的实地调查,根据佩罗的常态事故理论,我们认为自动化市场的特点是紧密耦合和复杂的相互作用,这使得它们容易发生大规模的技术事故。我们认为,将高可靠性组织研究中的思想付诸实践,可以为交易公司提供一种遏制与算法交易相关的一些技术风险的方法。然而,具有讽刺意味的是,市场中的某些系统性条件可能会使个别公司的高可靠性做法加剧市场不稳定,而不是降低其风险。因此,我们的结论是,为了使自动化市场更加稳定(并遏制故障的影响),重要的是在交易公司中广泛实施增强可靠性的实践,并解决市场紧密耦合和复杂相互作用所带来的系统性风险。