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电力消耗、资本、劳动力、碳排放对尼日利亚经济增长的影响:对环境可持续性目标的启示。

The role of electricity consumption, capital, labor force, carbon emissions on economic growth: implication for environmental sustainability targets in Nigeria.

机构信息

Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Abuja, Nigeria.

Research Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Abuja, Nigeria.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Mar;29(11):15955-15965. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-16584-6. Epub 2021 Oct 12.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-021-16584-6
PMID:34636018
Abstract

Despite consistent investments, grants, and other concessions in the power sector, nationwide power outages still remain an issue, even in 2020, disrupting business operations, contributing to huge recurrent expenses on generators and alternative sources of electricity in homes, businesses, and institutions. In this paper, we examine the role of electricity consumption on economic growth, while controlling for labor, capital, and carbon emissions, using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and the novel dynamic ARDL (DYNARDL) simulation analysis over the periods 1981-2019. Empirical results show that electricity consumption, capital, and labor exert positive inelastic impacts, while carbon emissions exert negative inelastic significant impact on economic growth within the period under investigation. From policy standpoint, we are of the opinion that stable supply and consumption of electricity can possibly boost economic growth and engender social stability in Nigeria. Thus, there is a need to strengthen the effectiveness of power sector and its energy generating agencies by ensuring periodic replacement of worn-out equipment in terms of adequately financed and efficient labor in order to enhance the contribution of the sector on economic growth, while in terms of environmental degradation, policy makers should work towards promotion of green economy for a sustainable economic growth and environment in Nigeria.

摘要

尽管在电力部门持续投资、拨款和提供其他优惠,但全国性的停电问题仍然存在,甚至在 2020 年也是如此,这扰乱了商业运营,导致家庭、企业和机构在发电机和其他替代电源上产生巨额经常性支出。在本文中,我们通过自回归分布滞后(ARDL)和新颖的动态 ARDL(DYNARDL)模拟分析,在 1981-2019 年期间,在控制劳动力、资本和碳排放的情况下,考察了电力消耗对经济增长的作用。实证结果表明,电力消耗、资本和劳动力对经济增长产生正向非弹性影响,而碳排放对经济增长产生负向非弹性显著影响。从政策角度来看,我们认为尼日利亚电力的稳定供应和消费有可能促进经济增长并带来社会稳定。因此,有必要通过确保资金充足和高效的劳动力定期更换磨损的设备来加强电力部门及其能源发电机构的效能,以提高该部门对经济增长的贡献,而在环境退化方面,政策制定者应努力促进绿色经济,以实现尼日利亚的可持续经济增长和环境。

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