Alabama Transportation Institute, The University of Alabama, United States.
Center for Advanced Public Safety, The University of Alabama, United States.
Accid Anal Prev. 2021 Dec;163:106428. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2021.106428. Epub 2021 Oct 6.
With the rising number of cases and deaths from the COVID-19 pandemic, nations and local governments, including many across the U.S., imposed travel restrictions on their citizens. This travel restriction order led to a significant reduction in traffic volumes and a generally lower exposure to crashes. However, recent preliminary statistics in the US suggest an increase in fatal crashes over the period of lockdown in comparison to the same period in previous years. This study sought to investigate how the pandemic affected road crashes and crash outcomes in Alabama. Daily vehicle miles traveled and crashes were obtained and explored. To understand the factors associated with crash outcomes, four crash-severity models were developed: (1) Single-vehicle (SV) crashes prior to lockdown order (Normal times SV); (2) multi-vehicle (MV) crashes prior to lockdown order (Normal times MV); (3) Single-vehicle crashes after lockdown order (COVID times SV); and (4) Multi-vehicle crashes after lockdown order (COVID times MV). The models were developed using the first 28 weeks of crashes recorded in 2020. The findings of the study reveal that although traffic volumes and vehicle miles traveled had significantly dropped during the lockdown, there was an increase in the total number of crashes and major injury crashes compared to the period prior to the lockdown order, with speeding, DUI, and weekends accounting for a significant proportion of these crashes. These observations provide useful lessons for road safety improvements during extreme events that may require statewide lockdown, as has been done with the COVID-19 pandemic. Traffic management around shopping areas and other areas that may experience increased traffic volumes provide opportunities for road safety stakeholders to reduce the occurrence of crashes in the weeks leading to an announcement of any future statewide or local lockdowns. Additionally, increased law enforcement efforts can help to reduce risky driving activities as traffic volumes decrease.
随着 COVID-19 大流行病例和死亡人数的增加,包括美国在内的许多国家和地方政府对本国公民实施了旅行限制。这种旅行限制令导致交通量大幅减少,碰撞暴露总体较低。然而,最近美国的初步统计数据显示,与前几年同期相比,封锁期间致命撞车事故有所增加。本研究旨在调查大流行如何影响阿拉巴马州的道路碰撞和碰撞后果。获取并探讨了每日行驶里程和碰撞数据。为了了解与碰撞后果相关的因素,开发了四个碰撞严重程度模型:(1) 封锁令前的单辆汽车(SV)碰撞(正常时间 SV);(2) 封锁令前的多辆汽车(MV)碰撞(正常时间 MV);(3) 封锁令后的单辆汽车碰撞(COVID 时间 SV);以及 (4) 封锁令后的多辆汽车碰撞(COVID 时间 MV)。该模型是使用 2020 年记录的前 28 周的碰撞数据开发的。研究结果表明,尽管在封锁期间交通量和车辆行驶里程显著下降,但与封锁令之前相比,碰撞总数和重大伤害碰撞有所增加,超速、酒后驾车和周末占这些碰撞的很大比例。这些观察结果为在可能需要全州封锁的极端事件期间改善道路安全提供了有用的经验教训,就像 COVID-19 大流行期间所做的那样。在购物区和其他可能经历交通量增加的区域周围进行交通管理,为道路安全利益相关者提供了机会,以减少在宣布任何未来全州或局部封锁前几周发生碰撞的机会。此外,随着交通量的减少,增加执法力度可以帮助减少危险驾驶行为。