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射血分数保留型与射血分数降低型心力衰竭患者的再入院、死亡及其相关预测因素。

Readmissions, Death and Its Associated Predictors in Heart Failure With Preserved Versus Reduced Ejection Fraction.

机构信息

National Heart Centre Singapore Singapore.

Duke-National University of Singapore Medical School Singapore.

出版信息

J Am Heart Assoc. 2021 Nov 16;10(22):e021414. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.121.021414. Epub 2021 Oct 20.

Abstract

Background Data on rehospitalizations for heart failure (HF) in Asia are scarce. We sought to determine the burden and predictors of HF (first and recurrent) rehospitalizations and all-cause mortality in patients with HF and preserved versus reduced ejection fraction (preserved EF, ≥50%; reduced EF, <40%), in the multinational ASIAN-HF (Asian Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure) registry. Methods and Results Patients with symptomatic (stage C) chronic HF were followed up for death and recurrent HF hospitalizations for 1 year. Predictors of HF hospitalizations or all-cause mortality were examined with Cox regression for time to first event and other methods for recurrent events analyses. Among 1666 patients with HF with preserved EF (mean age, 68±12 years; 50% women), and 4479 with HF with reduced EF (mean age, 61±13 years; 22% women), there were 642 and 2302 readmissions, with 28% and 45% attributed to HF, respectively. The 1-year composite event rate for first HF hospitalization or all-cause death was 11% and 21%, and for total HF hospitalization and all-cause death was 17.7 and 38.7 per 100 patient-years in HF with preserved EF and HF with reduced EF, respectively. In HF with preserved EF, consistent independent predictors of these clinical end points included enrollment as an inpatient, Southeast Asian location, and comorbid chronic kidney disease or atrial fibrillation. The same variables were predictive of outcomes in HF with reduced EF except atrial fibrillation, and also included Northeast Asian location, older age, elevated heart rate, decreased systolic blood pressure, diabetes, smoking, and non-usage of beta blockers. Conclusions One-year HF rehospitalization and mortality rates were high among Asian patients with HF. Predictors of outcomes identified in this study could aid in risk stratification and timely interventions. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01633398.

摘要

亚洲心力衰竭(HF)再住院的背景数据稀缺。我们旨在确定心力衰竭(HF)患者(射血分数保留型 [EF≥50%] 和射血分数降低型 [EF<40%])的首次和复发性 HF 再住院及全因死亡率的负担和预测因素,并在多国家亚洲心力衰竭(ASIAN-HF)登记研究中进行分析。

方法和结果

有症状(C 期)慢性 HF 患者进行了为期 1 年的死亡和 HF 再住院随访。采用 Cox 回归分析时间至首次事件和其他方法分析复发性事件,以确定 HF 住院或全因死亡率的预测因素。在 1666 例 EF 保留型 HF 患者(平均年龄 68±12 岁,50%为女性)和 4479 例 EF 降低型 HF 患者(平均年龄 61±13 岁,22%为女性)中,分别有 642 例和 2302 例再住院,分别归因于 HF 的比例为 28%和 45%。EF 保留型 HF 和 EF 降低型 HF 的 1 年复合终点事件发生率分别为 11%和 21%,HF 再住院和全因死亡率分别为 17.7 和 38.7/100 患者-年。在 EF 保留型 HF 中,这些临床终点的一致独立预测因素包括住院患者、东南亚地区和合并慢性肾脏病或心房颤动。在 EF 降低型 HF 中,同样的变量也可以预测结局,除了心房颤动外,还包括东北亚地区、年龄较大、心率升高、收缩压降低、糖尿病、吸烟和不使用β受体阻滞剂。

结论

亚洲 HF 患者的 1 年 HF 再住院率和死亡率较高。本研究中确定的结局预测因素有助于风险分层和及时干预。

注册网址

https://www.clinicaltrials.gov;独特标识符:NCT01633398。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3947/8751971/5767bfe6a256/JAH3-10-e021414-g002.jpg

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