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迈向欧洲绿色经济:可再生能源生产对失业是否有不对称影响?

Towards a green economy in Europe: does renewable energy production has asymmetric effects on unemployment?

机构信息

Economics and Management School, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.

Commerce Department, University of Sialkot, Sialkot, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Mar;29(13):18832-18839. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-17093-2. Epub 2021 Oct 26.

Abstract

Renewable energy production is necessary for digital society; it is also beneficial for labor market and sustainable development. This paper examines the impact of renewable energy production on unemployment rate by employing panel NARDL-PMG and robust asymmetric quantile regression for European countries from 1991 to 2019. The results reveal that renewable energy production significantly reduced unemployment in European countries in long run. The renewable energy production effect is found significant in the asymmetric model, specifically, in European countries; a positive change in renewable energy production has a negative significant impact on unemployment, and a negative change in renewable energy production has a positive significant impact on unemployment in long run. The GDP, investment, and technology innovation process are found to be triggered in labor market by reducing the unemployment rate in the long run. In addition, the asymmetric effects of renewable energy production on unemployment growth are robust in the different quantile regression. The findings suggest some insightful policy implications for government officials and policymakers.

摘要

可再生能源生产对于数字社会是必要的;它也有利于劳动力市场和可持续发展。本文通过面板 NARDL-PMG 和稳健的非对称分位数回归,考察了 1991 年至 2019 年欧洲国家可再生能源生产对失业率的影响。结果表明,可再生能源生产在长期内显著降低了欧洲国家的失业率。在非对称模型中,可再生能源生产的影响是显著的,特别是在欧洲国家;可再生能源生产的积极变化对失业率有显著的负面影响,而可再生能源生产的消极变化对失业率有显著的积极影响。从长期来看,通过降低失业率,GDP、投资和技术创新过程被发现在劳动力市场中被触发。此外,可再生能源生产对失业增长的非对称影响在不同分位数回归中是稳健的。研究结果为政府官员和政策制定者提供了一些有见地的政策建议。

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