Massey Douglas S
Princeton University.
Comp Migr Stud. 2020;8. doi: 10.1186/s40878-020-00181-6. Epub 2020 Jun 25.
The world appears to be moving into a new era of international migration during which gaps between policies needed to manage migratory flows and those enacted in practice will widen. Whereas immigrants in the late 20th century were motivated by a desire to improve their wellbeing by accessing opportunities in richer countries, in the early 21st century they are increasingly motivated by a desire to escape threats at places of origin, yielding very different patterns of migration and selectivity. Using the United States as an example, this paper reviews how mismatches between the underlying realities of international migration and the policies adopted to manage them, in both eras have produced and continue to produce dysfunctional outcomes. Although deleterious policy outcomes might be avoided in the future by combining a well-grounded conceptual understanding of the forces producing immigration with a clear statement of the goals to be achieved through specific policy interventions, the avoidance of further dysfunctional outcomes is unlikely to be achieved in an age of rising populism, disinformation, and xenophobia.
世界似乎正在步入国际移民的新时代,在此期间,管理移民流动所需的政策与实际制定的政策之间的差距将会扩大。20世纪后期,移民的动机是渴望通过在富裕国家获得机会来改善自身福祉,而在21世纪初,他们越来越多地受到逃离原籍地威胁的驱使,这产生了截然不同的移民模式和选择性。本文以美国为例,回顾了在这两个时代,国际移民的基本现实与为管理移民而采取的政策之间的不匹配是如何产生并持续产生功能失调的结果的。尽管未来或许可以通过将对产生移民的各种力量的扎实概念理解与通过具体政策干预要实现的目标的明确表述相结合来避免有害的政策结果,但在民粹主义、虚假信息和仇外心理不断抬头的时代,不太可能避免进一步出现功能失调的结果。