Faculty of Economics at "Ss. Cyril and Methodius", University in Skopje, Skopje, Macedonia.
PLoS One. 2021 Oct 29;16(10):e0259169. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0259169. eCollection 2021.
This paper analyses the effect of mortality rates (under-five and adult mortality) and population growth on the population ageing in a pooled sample of nine lower and upper middle European countries. Therefore, the main goal of this research is to investigate the ageing process of the population in the context of mortality mechanisms (under five and adult mortality) and of population growth in nine European LUMIs. The analysis is implemented in terms of Pooled least squares with cross-section fixed effects methodology. The novelty used within this research is White two-way cluster standard errors & covariance. This study is based on a database from the World Bank and UN covering the period 1995-2019. The expected results are making available quantitative analysis and insights in the context of mechanisms between the ageing process of population, mortality and population growth across these European LUMIs. Results are consistent with the notion that the increasing ageing process within these countries may be a consequence of the negative impact of population growth and from the influence of adult mortality for both sexes. The research results confirm the presence of solid ties of the mechanism between mortality, population growth and population ageing. Therefore, a clear point was provided that mortality acceleration will depend primarily on the level of population growth.
本文分析了死亡率（五岁以下和成年死亡率）和人口增长对九个中欧和东欧国家综合样本中人口老龄化的影响。因此，本研究的主要目的是研究在死亡率机制（五岁以下和成年死亡率）和九个欧洲 LUMI 中的人口增长背景下人口的老龄化过程。分析采用横截面固定效应的 pooled least squares 方法进行。本研究中使用的新颖方法是 White 双向聚类标准误差和协方差。本研究基于世界银行和联合国的数据库，涵盖了 1995-2019 年期间的数据。预期结果是提供定量分析和洞察，了解这些欧洲 LUMI 中人口老龄化过程、死亡率和人口增长之间的机制。结果与以下观点一致，即这些国家老龄化进程的加剧可能是人口增长的负面影响以及两性成年死亡率的影响所致。研究结果证实了死亡率、人口增长和人口老龄化之间机制的紧密联系。因此，明确指出死亡率的加速将主要取决于人口增长水平。
