Department of General Surgery, Center for Inflammatory Bowel Diseases, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, 305 East Zhongshan Road, Nanjing, 210002, China.
World J Surg. 2022 Feb;46(2):450-460. doi: 10.1007/s00268-021-06366-z. Epub 2021 Oct 30.
The incidence and prevalence of Crohn's disease (CD) are increasing in China, but there are few reports on the characteristics of patients requiring abdominal surgery. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical characteristics of these patients and the potential risk factors for postoperative complications and surgical recurrence.
In this observational, retrospective single-center cohort analysis, patients with CD who had undergone at least one abdominal surgery at our center from 2007 to 2020 were included. Data were collected from a prospectively maintained database. Clinical factors were assessed by logistic regression models, Kaplan-Meier methods, and Cox proportional hazards regression models. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram was determined by a concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve and was validated using bootstrap resampling.
In the 1639 patients, clinical characteristics were evaluated. In a multivariable logistic regression model, penetrating behavior (P = 0.002), emergency surgery (P = 0.010), and smoking status (P = 0.015) were significantly associated with an increased risk of postoperative septic complications. In contrast, staged surgery (P = 0.009) was inversely associated with postoperative complications. Upper gastrointestinal disease (P = 0.042), penetrating behavior (P = 0.027), emergency at initial surgery (P < 0.001) were significantly associated with an increased risk of surgical recurrence after the index surgery in our Cox regression model, whereas staged surgery (P = 0.036) was significantly associated with a decreased risk. The C-index of the nomogram for predicting recurrence was 0.744 (P = 0.015), and calibration curves showed good agreement between predictions of 3, 5, and 10 years of recurrence and actual observations.
There are several disease- and surgery-associated risk factors of postoperative adverse outcomes in patients with CD undergoing abdominal surgery. This is important in optimizing the management of CD which has evolved into a global disease with rising prevalence in newly industrialized countries including China.
在中国,克罗恩病(CD)的发病率和患病率正在上升,但关于需要腹部手术的患者特征的报道很少。本研究旨在评估这些患者的临床特征,以及术后并发症和手术复发的潜在危险因素。
在这项观察性、回顾性单中心队列分析中,纳入了 2007 年至 2020 年期间在我院至少接受过一次腹部手术的 CD 患者。数据来自一个前瞻性维护的数据库。通过逻辑回归模型、Kaplan-Meier 方法和 Cox 比例风险回归模型评估临床因素。通过一致性指数(C 指数)和校准曲线来确定列线图的预测准确性,并通过 bootstrap 重采样进行验证。
在 1639 名患者中评估了临床特征。在多变量逻辑回归模型中,穿透性行为(P=0.002)、急诊手术(P=0.010)和吸烟状态(P=0.015)与术后脓毒症并发症风险增加显著相关。相反,分期手术(P=0.009)与术后并发症呈负相关。在上消化道疾病(P=0.042)、穿透性行为(P=0.027)、初始手术时的急诊(P<0.001)与我们的 Cox 回归模型中指数手术后手术复发风险增加显著相关,而分期手术(P=0.036)与复发风险降低显著相关。预测复发的列线图的 C 指数为 0.744(P=0.015),校准曲线显示 3、5 和 10 年的预测复发率与实际观察值之间具有良好的一致性。
在接受腹部手术的 CD 患者中,存在几种与疾病和手术相关的术后不良结局危险因素。这对于优化 CD 的管理很重要,CD 已经发展成为一种全球性疾病,包括中国在内的新兴工业化国家的患病率正在上升。