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一种用于估计多发性硬化症患者体脂百分比的简单模型的开发与交叉验证

Development and Cross-Validation of a Simple Model to Estimate Percent Body Fat in Persons with Multiple Sclerosis.

作者信息

Bertapelli Fabio, Silveira Stephanie L, Agiovlasitis Stamatis, Motl Robert W

机构信息

School of Medical Sciences, University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil (FB).

Department of Physical Therapy, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA (FB, SLS, RWM).

出版信息

Int J MS Care. 2021 Sep-Oct;23(5):193-198. doi: 10.7224/1537-2073.2020-034. Epub 2021 Jan 12.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Persons with multiple sclerosis (MS) have higher body composition variability compared with the general population. Monitoring body composition requires accurate methods for estimating percent body fat (%BF). We developed and cross-validated an equation for estimating %BF from body mass index (BMI) and sex in persons with MS.

METHODS

Seventy-seven adults with MS represented the sample for the equation development. A separate sample of 33 adults with MS permitted the equation cross-validation. Dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) provided the criterion %BF.

RESULTS

The model including BMI and sex (mean ± SD age: women, 49.2 ± 8.8 years; men, 48.6 ± 9.8 years) had high predictive ability for estimating %BF ( < .001, = 0.77, standard error of estimate = 4.06%). Age, MS type, Patient-Determined Disease Steps score, and MS duration did not improve the model. The equation was %BF = 3.168 + (0.895 × BMI) - (10.191 × sex); sex, 0 = woman; 1 = man. The equation was cross-validated in the separate sample (age: women, 48.4 ± 9.4 years; men, 43.8 ± 15.4 years) based on high accuracy as indicated by strong association ( = 0.89, < .001), nonsignificant difference (mean: 0.2%, > .05), small absolute error (mean: 2.7%), root mean square error (3.5%), and small differences and no bias in Bland-Altman analysis (mean difference: 0.2%, 95% CI: -6.98 to 6.55, = -0.07, = .702) between DXA-determined and equation-estimated %BF.

CONCLUSIONS

Health care providers can use this developed and cross-validated equation for estimating adiposity in persons with MS when DXA is unavailable.

摘要

背景

与普通人群相比,多发性硬化症(MS)患者的身体成分变异性更高。监测身体成分需要准确的方法来估计体脂百分比(%BF)。我们开发并交叉验证了一个根据体重指数(BMI)和性别来估计MS患者%BF的方程。

方法

77名成年MS患者作为方程开发的样本。另一个由33名成年MS患者组成的样本用于方程的交叉验证。双能X线吸收法(DXA)提供了作为标准的%BF。

结果

包含BMI和性别的模型(平均±标准差年龄:女性,49.2±8.8岁;男性,48.6±9.8岁)在估计%BF方面具有较高的预测能力(<0.001,=0.77,估计标准误差=4.06%)。年龄、MS类型、患者确定的疾病阶段评分和MS病程并未改善该模型。方程为%BF = 3.168 +(0.895×BMI) - (10.191×性别);性别,0 = 女性;1 = 男性。该方程在另一个样本(年龄:女性,48.4±9.4岁;男性,43.8±15.4岁)中进行了交叉验证,基于强关联(=0.89,<0.001)、无显著差异(平均值:0.2%,>0.05)、小绝对误差(平均值:2.7%)、均方根误差(3.5%)以及Bland-Altman分析中DXA测定的%BF与方程估计的%BF之间的小差异且无偏差(平均差异:0.2%,95%可信区间:-6.98至6.55,=-0.07,=0.702)表明该方程具有较高的准确性。

结论

当无法进行DXA检测时,医疗保健提供者可以使用这个经过开发和交叉验证的方程来估计MS患者的肥胖程度。

相似文献

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Body Mass Index Underestimates Adiposity in Persons With Multiple Sclerosis.体重指数低估了多发性硬化症患者的肥胖程度。
Arch Phys Med Rehabil. 2016 Mar;97(3):405-12. doi: 10.1016/j.apmr.2015.09.014. Epub 2015 Oct 9.

本文引用的文献

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Body Mass Index Underestimates Adiposity in Persons With Multiple Sclerosis.体重指数低估了多发性硬化症患者的肥胖程度。
Arch Phys Med Rehabil. 2016 Mar;97(3):405-12. doi: 10.1016/j.apmr.2015.09.014. Epub 2015 Oct 9.

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