Cognition and Individual Differences Lab, Department of Psychology, School of Social Sciences, University of Mannheim.
Psychol Methods. 2021 Aug;26(4):501-506. doi: 10.1037/met0000404.
In this comment, we report a simulation study that assesses error rates and average sample sizes required to reach a statistical decision for two sequential procedures, the sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) originally proposed by Wald (1947) and the independent segments procedure (ISP) recently suggested by Miller and Ulrich (2020). Following Miller and Ulrich (2020), we use sequential one-tailed t tests as examples. In line with the optimal efficiency properties of the SPRT already proven by Wald and Wolfowitz (1948), the SPRT outperformed the ISP in terms of efficiency without compromising error probability control. The efficiency gain in terms of sample size reduction achieved with the SPRT t test relative to the ISP may be as high as 25%. We thus recommend the SPRT as a default sequential testing procedure especially for detecting small or medium hypothesized effect sizes under H1 whenever a priori knowledge of the maximum sample size is not crucial. If a priori control of the maximum sample size is mandatory, however, the ISP is a very useful addition to the sequential testing literature. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2021 APA, all rights reserved).
在这项评论中,我们报告了一项模拟研究,评估了两种序贯程序(最初由 Wald(1947)提出的序贯概率比检验(SPRT)和最近由 Miller 和 Ulrich(2020)提出的独立段程序(ISP))达到统计决策所需的错误率和平均样本量。按照 Miller 和 Ulrich(2020)的建议,我们使用序贯单尾 t 检验作为示例。与 Wald 和 Wolfowitz(1948)已经证明的 SPRT 的最优效率特性一致,SPRT 在不影响错误概率控制的情况下,在效率方面优于 ISP。与 ISP 相比,SPRT t 检验在样本量减少方面的效率提高可能高达 25%。因此,我们建议将 SPRT 作为默认的序贯检验程序,特别是在 H1 下检测小或中等假设效应量时,只要事先对最大样本量的了解并不关键。然而,如果事先需要控制最大样本量,则 ISP 是序贯检验文献的一个非常有用的补充。(PsycInfo 数据库记录(c)2021 APA,保留所有权利)。