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特邀评论:独立分段程序与分组序贯设计的比较。

Invited commentary: Comparing the independent segments procedure with group sequential designs.

机构信息

Department of Industrial Engineering and Innovation Sciences, Eindhoven University of Technology.

出版信息

Psychol Methods. 2021 Aug;26(4):498-500. doi: 10.1037/met0000400.

Abstract

Psychological science would become more efficient if researchers implemented sequential designs where feasible. Miller and Ulrich (2020) propose an independent segments procedure where data can be analyzed at a prespecified number of equally spaced looks while controlling the Type I error rate. Such procedures already exist in the sequential analysis literature, and in this commentary, I reflect on whether psychologists should choose to adopt these existing procedures instead. I believe limitations in the independent segments procedure make it relatively unattractive. Being forced to stop for futility based on a bound not chosen to control Type II errors, or reject a smallest effect size of interest in an equivalence test, limits the inferences one can make. Having to use a prespecified number of equally spaced looks is logistically inconvenient. And not having the flexibility to choose α and β spending functions limits the possibility to design efficient studies based on the goal and limitations of the researcher. Recent software packages such as rpact (Wassmer & Pahlke, 2019) make sequential designs equally easy to perform as the independent segments procedure. While learning new statistical methods always takes time, I believe psychological scientists should start on a path that will not limit them in the flexibility and inferences their statistical procedure provides. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2021 APA, all rights reserved).

摘要

如果研究人员在可行的情况下实施序贯设计,心理学科学将变得更加高效。米勒和乌尔里希(2020)提出了一种独立分段程序,在控制Ⅰ型错误率的同时,可以在预先指定的等距观察次数分析数据。这种程序已经存在于序贯分析文献中,在这篇评论中,我思考了心理学家是否应该选择采用这些现有的程序。我认为独立分段程序的局限性使得它相对缺乏吸引力。由于基于未选择控制Ⅱ型错误率的界限而被迫停止无效性,或者在等效性检验中拒绝最小感兴趣的效应量,限制了可以进行的推论。必须使用预先指定的等距观察次数在逻辑上不太方便。并且没有选择α和β支出函数的灵活性,限制了根据研究人员的目标和限制设计高效研究的可能性。最近的软件包,如 rpact(Wassmer & Pahlke,2019),使得序贯设计与独立分段程序一样易于执行。虽然学习新的统计方法总是需要时间,但我认为心理科学家应该开始走一条不会限制他们的统计程序提供的灵活性和推论的道路。(PsycInfo 数据库记录(c)2021 APA,保留所有权利)。

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