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一种改良的道特-路易斯方法的短期对比研究。

A short comparative study on modified Duckworth-Lewis methods.

机构信息

Department of Statistics, University of Malakand, Lower Dir, Pakistan.

Institute of IR 4.0, The National University of Malaysia, UKM, Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2021 Nov 8;16(11):e0259423. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0259423. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

In this paper, the Duckworth-Lewis-Stern (DLS) and Duckworth-Lewis-McHale-Asif (DLMA) methods of revising targets for a team batting in second innings in an interrupted Limited Overs International Cricket (LOI), are examined for fairness. The work discusses four significant points: flexibility, intuition, simplicity, and goodness-of-fit of the two mentioned methods. The research findings have shown that the DLMA method is better in every aspect than the DLS method. Further, the data of 1764 ODI matches played during 2004-2021 to investigate the compatibility of the DLMA for high run-scoring One-Day International matches. The results show that DLMA is compatible to the situation of the well-above run-scoring situation.

摘要

本文研究了在中断的有限 overs 国际板球比赛中,对第二局球队击球目标进行修订的 Duckworth-Lewis-Stern (DLS) 和 Duckworth-Lewis-McHale-Asif (DLMA) 方法的公平性。这项工作讨论了这两种方法的四个重要特点:灵活性、直观性、简单性和拟合优度。研究结果表明,DLMA 法在各个方面都优于 DLS 法。此外,对 2004 年至 2021 年期间进行的 1764 场 ODI 比赛的数据进行了研究,以调查 DLMA 方法在高得分的单日国际比赛中的兼容性。结果表明,DLMA 与得分明显偏高的情况兼容。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8de5/8575263/7d24e6e09d27/pone.0259423.g001.jpg

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