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客观营养指标对腹膜透析患者技术失败的预测价值

Predictive Value of Objective Nutritional Indexes in Technique Failure in Peritoneal Dialysis Patients.

作者信息

Yang Yan, Xu Yuanyuan, Zhang Pei, Zhou Hua, Yang Min, Xiang Li

机构信息

Department of Nephrology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou, China.

Department of Nephrology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou, China.

出版信息

J Ren Nutr. 2022 Sep;32(5):605-612. doi: 10.1053/j.jrn.2021.09.005. Epub 2021 Nov 12.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD) will encounter with a well-recognized challenge of technique failure (TF). We aimed to explore the predictive value of objective nutritional indexes in PD TF.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study included PD patients from August 2010 to March 2019. The Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score, Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), and Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) were calculated at baseline. TF was defined as a permanent switch from PD to hemodialysis. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression was performed to investigate the association between confounding factors and outcomes. The optimal cut-off values were determined using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. We used the Kaplan-Meier curve to compare the outcomes according to the cut-off values. The area under the curve (AUC) was used to test discriminative power of these objective nutritional indexes.

RESULTS

We analyzed 276 PD patients, 84 (30.43%) experienced TF during 2.5 (1.4, 4.0) years of follow-up. In the Kaplan-Meier analysis, patients with a higher CONUT score (>3), lower GNRI (≤85.77), and lower PNI (≤40.2) had significantly higher risk of TF (38.2% vs. 18.9%, P = .011; 39.6% vs. 25.1%, P = .043; 35.9% vs. 17.9%, P = .022; respectively). After adjusting confounding factors, a high CONUT score and low PNI were independently and significantly associated with TF analyzed by a multivariate Cox regression model (hazard ratio 2.284, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.248-4.179, P = .007; hazard ratio 2.070, 95% CI 1.233-3.475, P = .006; respectively). The largest AUC to predict TF was PNI (AUC 0.600, 95% CI 0.539-0.658), followed by CONUT score (AUC 0.596, 95% CI 0.535-0.654) and GNRI (AUC 0.572, 95% CI 0.511-0.631).

CONCLUSIONS

The CONUT score and PNI are independently associated with TF in PD patients. Moreover, assessment of PNI and the CONUT score may provide more useful predictive values than GNRI.

摘要

目的

接受腹膜透析(PD)的患者会面临技术失败(TF)这一公认的挑战。我们旨在探讨客观营养指标在PD患者技术失败中的预测价值。

方法

这项回顾性观察性研究纳入了2010年8月至2019年3月期间的PD患者。在基线时计算控制营养状况(CONUT)评分、预后营养指数(PNI)和老年营养风险指数(GNRI)。技术失败定义为从PD永久转换为血液透析。进行单因素和多因素Cox回归以研究混杂因素与结局之间的关联。使用受试者工作特征曲线分析确定最佳截断值。我们使用Kaplan-Meier曲线根据截断值比较结局。曲线下面积(AUC)用于检验这些客观营养指标的判别能力。

结果

我们分析了276例PD患者,84例(30.43%)在2.5(1.4,4.0)年的随访期间经历了技术失败。在Kaplan-Meier分析中,CONUT评分较高(>3)、GNRI较低(≤85.77)和PNI较低(≤40.2)的患者技术失败风险显著更高(分别为38.2%对18.9%,P = 0.011;39.6%对25.1%,P = 0.043;35.9%对17.9%,P = 0.022)。在调整混杂因素后,多因素Cox回归模型分析显示,高CONUT评分和低PNI与技术失败独立且显著相关(风险比分别为2.284,95%置信区间[CI]1.248 - 4.179,P = 0.007;风险比2.070,95%CI 1.233 - 3.475,P = 0.006)。预测技术失败的最大AUC是PNI(AUC 0.600,95%CI 0.539 - 0.658),其次是CONUT评分(AUC 0.596,95%CI 0.535 - 0.654)和GNRI(AUC 0.572,95%CI 0.511 - 0.631)。

结论

CONUT评分和PNI与PD患者的技术失败独立相关。此外,与GNRI相比,评估PNI和CONUT评分可能提供更有用的预测价值。

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