多中心 MoPIM 队列研究中老年患者慢性疾病和老年综合征的多病共存模式。
Multimorbidity patterns of chronic conditions and geriatric syndromes in older patients from the MoPIM multicentre cohort study.
机构信息
Clinical Epidemiology and Cancer Screening, Consorci Corporació Sanitària Parc Taulí, Sabadell, Spain
REDISSEC-Network for Research into Healthcare in Chronic Diseases, Madrid, Spain.
出版信息
BMJ Open. 2021 Nov 15;11(11):e049334. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049334.
OBJECTIVES
To estimate the frequency of chronic conditions and geriatric syndromes in older patients admitted to hospital because of an exacerbation of their chronic conditions, and to identify multimorbidity clusters in these patients.
DESIGN
Multicentre, prospective cohort study.
SETTING
Internal medicine or geriatric services of five general teaching hospitals in Spain.
PARTICIPANTS
740 patients aged 65 and older, hospitalised because of an exacerbation of their chronic conditions between September 2016 and December 2018.
PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES
Active chronic conditions and geriatric syndromes (including risk factors) of the patient, a score about clinical management of chronic conditions during admission, and destination at discharge were collected, among other variables. Multimorbidity patterns were identified using fuzzy c-means cluster analysis, taking into account the clinical management score. Prevalence, observed/expected ratio and exclusivity of each chronic condition and geriatric syndrome were calculated for each cluster, and the final solution was approved after clinical revision and discussion among the research team.
RESULTS
740 patients were included (mean age 84.12 years, SD 7.01; 53.24% female). Almost all patients had two or more chronic conditions (98.65%; 95% CI 98.23% to 99.07%), the most frequent were hypertension (81.49%, 95% CI 78.53% to 84.12%) and heart failure (59.86%, 95% CI 56.29% to 63.34%). The most prevalent geriatric syndrome was polypharmacy (79.86%, 95% CI 76.82% to 82.60%). Four statistically and clinically significant multimorbidity clusters were identified: osteoarticular, psychogeriatric, cardiorespiratory and minor chronic disease. Patient-level variables such as sex, Barthel Index, number of chronic conditions or geriatric syndromes, chronic disease exacerbation 3 months prior to admission or destination at discharge differed between clusters.
CONCLUSIONS
In older patients admitted to hospital because of the exacerbation of chronic health problems, it is possible to define multimorbidity clusters using soft clustering techniques. These clusters are clinically relevant and could be the basis to reorganise healthcare circuits or processes to tackle the increasing number of older, multimorbid patients.
TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER
NCT02830425.
目的
评估因慢性疾病恶化而住院的老年患者的慢性疾病和老年综合病症的频率,并确定这些患者的多重病症聚类。
设计
多中心、前瞻性队列研究。
地点
西班牙五所综合教学医院的内科或老年科。
参与者
2016 年 9 月至 2018 年 12 月期间,因慢性疾病恶化而住院的 740 名年龄在 65 岁及以上的患者。
主要和次要结局测量
收集患者的活跃慢性疾病和老年综合病症(包括危险因素)、住院期间慢性疾病临床管理评分以及出院去向等其他变量。使用模糊 c 均值聚类分析确定多重病症模式,并考虑临床管理评分。计算每个聚类的每个慢性疾病和老年综合病症的患病率、观察到的/预期的比值和排他性,并在临床审查和研究团队讨论后批准最终解决方案。
结果
共纳入 740 例患者(平均年龄 84.12 岁,标准差 7.01;53.24%为女性)。几乎所有患者都有两种或两种以上的慢性疾病(98.65%;95%置信区间 98.23%至 99.07%),最常见的是高血压(81.49%,95%置信区间 78.53%至 84.12%)和心力衰竭(59.86%,95%置信区间 56.29%至 63.34%)。最常见的老年综合病症是多药治疗(79.86%,95%置信区间 76.82%至 82.60%)。确定了四个具有统计学和临床意义的多重病症聚类:骨关节炎、精神老年病学、心肺和轻度慢性疾病。聚类之间患者水平的变量(如性别、巴氏指数、慢性疾病或老年综合病症的数量、入院前 3 个月的慢性疾病加重或出院去向)存在差异。
结论
在因慢性健康问题恶化而住院的老年患者中,可以使用软聚类技术定义多重病症聚类。这些聚类具有临床意义,可以为重新组织医疗保健流程或流程以应对越来越多的老年、多病患者提供基础。
试验注册
NCT02830425。
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