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入学年龄对分娩时间的因果影响:来自职业母亲和使用精确出生日期的入学截止日期的证据。

Causal Impact of School Starting Age on the Tempo of Childbirths: Evidence from Working Mothers and School Entry Cutoff Using Exact Date of Birth.

作者信息

Chang Insu, Park Heeran, Sohn Hosung

机构信息

Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs, Sejong, South Korea.

Graduate School of Public Administration, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea.

出版信息

Eur J Popul. 2021 Oct 27;37(4-5):997-1022. doi: 10.1007/s10680-021-09597-x. eCollection 2021 Nov.

Abstract

UNLABELLED

Many studies show that females' age at first childbirth affects important outcomes of these females and their offspring such as health- and socioeconomic-related variables. This paper analyzes whether there is a causal relationship between working mothers' school entry age and the timing at which they give birth by exploiting Korea's elementary school entry cutoff regulation. Using administrative employment insurance data that record the fertility history of female working mothers together with regression discontinuity design, we find that a year's delay in age at school starting increases age at first and second childbirth by approximately 3 and 4 months, respectively. We also find that one of the mechanisms that affects the relationship between these two variables is age at first employment. The estimated effects of SSA are likely to be salient in a country where educational sequence that a student experience is rigid.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10680-021-09597-x.

摘要

未标注

许多研究表明,女性的初育年龄会影响这些女性及其后代的重要结果,如与健康和社会经济相关的变量。本文利用韩国小学入学截止规定,分析职业母亲的入学年龄与她们生育时间之间是否存在因果关系。通过使用记录职业母亲生育史的行政失业保险数据以及回归断点设计,我们发现入学年龄推迟一年,初育年龄和二胎生育年龄分别增加约3个月和4个月。我们还发现,影响这两个变量之间关系的机制之一是初次就业年龄。在一个学生经历的教育顺序较为严格的国家,入学年龄推迟的估计影响可能会很显著。

补充信息

在线版本包含可在10.1007/s10680-021-09597-x获取的补充材料。

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