Zang Emma, Tan Poh Lin, Cook Philip J
Yale University.
National University of Singapore.
AJS. 2023 Mar;128(5):1529-1571. doi: 10.1086/724723.
This paper examines causal sibling spillover effects among students from different family backgrounds in elementary and middle school. Family backgrounds are captured by race, household structure, mothers' educational attainment, and school poverty. Exploiting discontinuities in school starting age created by North Carolina school-entry laws, we adopt a quasi-experimental approach and compare test scores of public school students whose older siblings were born shortly before and after the school-entry cutoff date. We find that individuals whose older siblings were born shortly after the school-entry cutoff date have significantly higher test scores in middle school, and that this positive spillover effect is particularly strong in disadvantaged families. We estimate that the spillover effect accounts for approximately one third of observed statistical associations in test scores between siblings, and the magnitude is much larger for disadvantaged families. Our results suggest that spillover effects from older to younger siblings may lead to greater divergence in academic outcomes and economic inequality between families.
本文研究了小学和初中阶段来自不同家庭背景的学生之间的因果性兄弟姐妹溢出效应。家庭背景通过种族、家庭结构、母亲的教育程度和学校贫困程度来体现。利用北卡罗来纳州入学法律造成的入学年龄不连续性,我们采用了一种准实验方法,比较了其哥哥姐姐在入学截止日期前后不久出生的公立学校学生的考试成绩。我们发现,其哥哥姐姐在入学截止日期后不久出生的学生在中学阶段的考试成绩显著更高,并且这种积极的溢出效应在弱势家庭中尤为强烈。我们估计,溢出效应约占兄弟姐妹考试成绩中观察到的统计关联的三分之一,而且对弱势家庭来说,其影响程度要大得多。我们的研究结果表明,哥哥姐姐对弟弟妹妹的溢出效应可能会导致家庭之间在学业成绩和经济不平等方面出现更大的差异。