From the Division of Trauma, Critical Care & Burn Surgery (B.M.T., B.K.P., A.J.Y., C.A.S.), The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio; Department of Surgery (C.W.P.), Emory University School of Medicine; Division of Acute Care Surgery (C.W.P., R.B.G.), Grady Memorial Hospital, Atlanta, Georgia; Division of Trauma, Emergency Surgery & Surgical Critical Care (A.E.M., A.G.), Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts; Department of Surgery (J.M.S.), Ascension St. Vincent Hospital, Indianapolis, Indiana; Division of Trauma (M.D.Z.), Critical Care & Emergency General Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota; and Division of Acute Care Surgery (R.B.G.), University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama.
J Trauma Acute Care Surg. 2022 Feb 1;92(2):305-312. doi: 10.1097/TA.0000000000003466.
The American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy and Society of American Gastrointestinal and Endoscopic Surgeons provide guidelines for managing suspected common bile duct (CBD) stones. We sought to evaluate adherence to the guidelines among patients with choledocholithiasis and/or acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) and to evaluate the ability of these guidelines to predict choledocholithiasis.
We prospectively identified patients undergoing same-admission cholecystectomy for choledocholithiasis and/or ABP from 2016 to 2019 at 12 United States medical centers. Predictors of suspected CBD stones were very strong (CBD stone on ultrasound; bilirubin >4 mg/dL), strong (CBD > 6 mm; bilirubin ≥1.8 to ≤4 mg/dL), or moderate (abnormal liver function tests other than bilirubin; age >55 years; ABP). Patients were grouped by probability of CBD stones: high (any very strong or both strong predictors), low (no predictors), or intermediate (any other predictor combination). The management of each probability group was compared with the recommended management in the guidelines.
The cohort was comprised of 844 patients. High-probability patients had 64.3% (n = 238/370) deviation from guidelines, intermediate-probability patients had 29% (n = 132/455) deviation, and low-probability patients had 78.9% (n = 15/19) deviation. Acute biliary pancreatitis increased the odds of deviation for the high- (odds ratio [OR], 1.71; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-2.8; p = 0.03) and intermediate-probability groups (OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.07-2.42; p = 0.02). Age older than 55 years (OR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.4-3.43; p < 0.001) also increased the odds of deviation for the intermediate group. A CBD greater than 6 mm predicted choledocholithiasis in the high (adjusted OR (aOR), 2.16; 95% CI, 1.17-3.97; p = 0.01) and intermediate group (aOR, 2.78; 95% CI, 1.59-4.86; p < 0.001). Any very strong predictor (aOR, 2.43; 95% CI, 1.76-3.37; p < 0.0001) and both strong predictors predicted choledocholithiasis (aOR, 2; 95% CI, 1.35-2.96; p < 0.001).
Almost 45% of patients with suspected CBD stones were managed discordantly from the American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy and Society of American Gastrointestinal and Endoscopic Surgeons guidelines. We believe these guidelines warrant revision to better reflect the ability of the clinical variables at predicting choledocholithiasis.
Therapeutic/Care Management; Level IV.
美国胃肠内镜学会和美国胃肠内镜外科学会为疑似胆总管结石(CBD)的管理提供了指南。我们旨在评估胆石症和/或急性胆源性胰腺炎(ABP)患者对这些指南的遵循情况,并评估这些指南预测胆总管结石的能力。
我们前瞻性地确定了 2016 年至 2019 年期间在 12 个美国医疗中心因胆总管结石和/或 ABP 而接受同期胆囊切除术的患者。疑似 CBD 结石的预测因素包括:强烈预测因素(超声显示 CBD 结石;胆红素>4mg/dL)、强预测因素(CBD>6mm;胆红素≥1.8 至≤4mg/dL)或中度预测因素(除胆红素以外的肝功能检查异常;年龄>55 岁;ABP)。根据 CBD 结石的可能性将患者分为高(任何强烈预测因素或两种强烈预测因素)、低(无预测因素)或中(任何其他预测因素组合)风险组。比较了每个概率组与指南中推荐的管理方法。
该队列包括 844 名患者。高概率组患者有 64.3%(n=238/370)不符合指南,中概率组患者有 29%(n=132/455)不符合,低概率组患者有 78.9%(n=15/19)不符合。急性胆源性胰腺炎增加了高(比值比[OR],1.71;95%置信区间[CI],1.06-2.8;p=0.03)和中(OR,1.6;95%CI,1.07-2.42;p=0.02)概率组偏离指南的可能性。年龄>55 岁(OR,2.19;95%CI,1.4-3.43;p<0.001)也增加了中间组偏离的可能性。CBD 大于 6mm 预测高(调整后的 OR(aOR),2.16;95%CI,1.17-3.97;p=0.01)和中间组(aOR,2.78;95%CI,1.59-4.86;p<0.001)的胆总管结石。任何强烈的预测因素(aOR,2.43;95%CI,1.76-3.37;p<0.0001)和两种强烈的预测因素都预测了胆总管结石(aOR,2;95%CI,1.35-2.96;p<0.001)。
近 45%的疑似 CBD 结石患者与美国胃肠内镜学会和美国胃肠内镜外科学会的指南不符。我们认为这些指南需要修订,以更好地反映临床变量预测胆总管结石的能力。
治疗/护理管理;IV 级。