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欧洲国家能源消耗、油价与二氧化碳排放之间的长期关系。

The long-run relationship between energy consumption, oil prices, and carbon dioxide emissions in European countries.

作者信息

Rasheed Muhammad Qamar, Haseeb Abdul, Adebayo Tomiwa Sunday, Ahmed Zahoor, Ahmad Mahmood

机构信息

School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China.

Department of Management Sciences, The University of Haripur, Haripur, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Apr;29(16):24234-24247. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-17601-4. Epub 2021 Nov 25.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-021-17601-4
PMID:34820761
Abstract

Global climate change brings environmental quality sensitivity, especially in European countries. In this context, European countries are striving to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. Renewable energy use can be an effective way to curtail the increasing environmental degradation. How the oil prices shape the energy use pattern and environmental quality remains unclear to date. Therefore, the present research examines the linkage between energy use (non-renewable and renewable energy), oil prices, and CO emissions in 30 European countries between 1997 and 2017. The study applied fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS), Westerlund (2007) cointegration and the Driscoll-Kraay Regression tests to explore these associations. The result of individual samples and the full sample provides the same intimations for the use of energy in Europe. The outcomes of the research ratify the existence of a long-run relationship among variables and found that non-renewable energy consumption increases CO emissions, while renewable energy consumption mitigates CO emissions. Furthermore, when the oil prices rise, people switch towards substitute energy sources that reduce CO emissions. Based on the results, the study suggests that European countries should increase the share of renewable energy, promote the use of clean energy resources, and discourage fossil fuel energy consumption to ensure sustainability.

摘要

全球气候变化带来了环境质量敏感性,尤其是在欧洲国家。在此背景下,欧洲国家正努力在2050年前实现碳中和。使用可再生能源可能是遏制日益严重的环境退化的有效途径。迄今为止,油价如何塑造能源使用模式和环境质量仍不清楚。因此,本研究考察了1997年至2017年间30个欧洲国家的能源使用(不可再生能源和可再生能源)、油价与二氧化碳排放之间的联系。该研究应用了完全修正普通最小二乘法(FMOLS)、韦斯特伦德(2007年)协整检验和德里斯科尔-克拉伊回归检验来探究这些关联。单个样本和全样本的结果为欧洲的能源使用提供了相同的启示。研究结果证实了变量之间存在长期关系,并发现不可再生能源消费会增加二氧化碳排放,而可再生能源消费则会减少二氧化碳排放。此外,当油价上涨时,人们会转向能减少二氧化碳排放的替代能源。基于这些结果,该研究建议欧洲国家应提高可再生能源的占比,推广清洁能源资源的使用,并抑制化石燃料能源消费以确保可持续性。

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