Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
Department of Health Policy and Management, Center for Gun Violence Prevention and Policy, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
BMJ Open. 2021 Nov 25;11(11):e048094. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-048094.
We investigated the association between gun ownership and perceptions about COVID-19 among Texas adults as the pandemic emerged. We considered perceived likelihood that the pandemic would lead to civil unrest, perceived importance of taking precautions to prevent transmission and perceptions that the threat of COVID-19 has been exaggerated.
Data were collected from 5 to 12 April 2020, shortly after Texas' stay-at-home declaration. We generated a sample using random digit dial methods for a telephone survey (n=77, response rate=8%) and by randomly selecting adults from an ongoing panel to complete the survey online (n=1120, non-probability sample). We conducted a logistic regression to estimate differences in perceptions by gun ownership. To account for bias associated with use of a non-probability sample, we used Bayesian data integration and ran linear regression models to produce more accurate measures of association.
Among the 60% of Texas adults who reported gun ownership, estimates of past 7-day gun purchases, ammunition purchases and gun carrying were 15% (n78), 20% (n=100) and 24% (n=130), respectively. We found no evidence of an association between gun ownership with perceived importance of taking precautions to prevent transmission or with perceived likelihood of civil unrest. Results from the logistic regression (OR 1.27, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.63) and the linear regression (β=0.18, 95% CI 0.07 to 0.29) suggest that gun owners may be more likely to believe the threat of COVID-19 was exaggerated.
Compared with those without guns, gun owners may have been inclined to downplay the threat of COVID-19 early in the pandemic.
我们调查了德克萨斯州成年人在大流行期间拥有枪支与对 COVID-19 的看法之间的关系。我们考虑了大流行导致内乱的可能性、采取预防措施防止传播的重要性以及 COVID-19 威胁被夸大的看法。
数据于 2020 年 4 月 5 日至 12 日收集,此时德克萨斯州刚刚宣布居家令。我们使用随机数字拨号方法生成电话调查样本(n=77,响应率为 8%),并从正在进行的小组中随机选择成年人在线完成调查(n=1120,非概率样本)。我们进行了逻辑回归分析,以估计枪支所有权对看法的差异。为了弥补使用非概率样本带来的偏差,我们使用贝叶斯数据整合,并运行线性回归模型,以产生更准确的关联度量。
在报告拥有枪支的德克萨斯州成年人中,有 60%的人估计过去 7 天内购买过枪支、弹药和携带过枪支,分别为 15%(n78)、20%(n=100)和 24%(n=130)。我们没有发现枪支所有权与认为采取预防措施防止传播的重要性或与内乱可能性的看法之间存在关联的证据。逻辑回归(OR 1.27,95%CI 0.99 至 1.63)和线性回归(β=0.18,95%CI 0.07 至 0.29)的结果表明,枪支拥有者可能更倾向于认为 COVID-19 的威胁被夸大了。
与没有枪支的人相比,枪支拥有者在大流行早期可能倾向于低估 COVID-19 的威胁。